Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 41

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday


	Oxford City		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.1
	1.75	3.5	3.75
	1.72	3.76	4.62
	1.91	3.25	3.7
	1.69	3.8	4.55
	1.75	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)	4.12 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
52.2%

Draw
25.6%

Tonbridge Angels
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.9%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

25.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Oxford City - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Oxford City is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League South
25.03.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
18.03.23	Oxford City - Cheshunt	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Oxford City	0:3 ✺
07.03.23	Oxford City - Braintree Town	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Oxford City - Farnborough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWTL
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
25.03.23	Tonbridge Angels - Hungerford Town	4:3 ✺
18.03.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Tonbridge Angels - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
07.03.23	Eastbourne Borough - Tonbridge Angels	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Tonbridge Angels - Taunton Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.10.22	Tonbridge Angels - Oxford City	2:2
05.03.22	Oxford City - Tonbridge Angels	5:0
30.10.21	Tonbridge Angels - Oxford City	0:2
17.10.20	Oxford City - Tonbridge Angels	4:0
22.02.20	Oxford City - Tonbridge Angels	0:3
02.11.19	Tonbridge Angels - Oxford City	4:4

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