Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 36

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Oxford City		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.23	3.3	2.8
	2.16	3.33	3.18
	2.3	3.28	2.98
	2.24	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.07)	3.23 ↓ (3.24)	2.97 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
41.1%

Draw
28.2%

Farnborough
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.3%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

27.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Oxford City - Farnborough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Oxford City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Farnborough is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farnborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oxford City will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League South
25.02.23	Dartford - Oxford City	0:0 ✺
21.02.23	Taunton Town - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Oxford City - Worthing	3:0 ✺
11.02.23	Oxford City - Welling United	3:0 ✺
04.02.23	Hungerford Town - Oxford City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTWWW
- Farnborough
English National League South
28.02.23	Farnborough - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	Farnborough - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
21.02.23	Farnborough - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
18.02.23	Eastbourne Borough - Farnborough	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Taunton Town - Farnborough	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
29.10.22	Farnborough - Oxford City	2:1

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