Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 14

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Oxford United		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.2
	1.93	3.5	3.7
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	2	3.61	3.97
	1.98	3.61	3.97
	1.95	3.5	3.7
	1.92	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.94	3.45	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.87)	3.55 ↑ (3.54)	3.86 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
48.7%

Draw
26.7%

Blackpool
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Oxford United - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: Oxford United will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beadle J. (G) 22. Leigh G. 2. Long S. 5. Moore E. 3. Brown C. 6. McEachran J. 18. McGuane M. 20. Rodrigues R. 10. Bodin B. 7. Mills S. 9. Harris M.	32. Grimshaw D. (G) 5. Pennington M. 20. Casey O. 3. Husband J. 7. Dale O. 30. Oakley-Boothe T. (C) 12. Dougall K. 10. Carey S. 22. Hamilton C. 16. Rhodes J. 27. Kouassi K.
Substitutes
13. Eastwood S. (G) 19. Goodrham T. 25. Gorrin A. 23. Murphy J. 39. O'Donkor G. 15. Stevens F. 4. Thorniley J.	2. Connolly C. 11. Dembele K. 21. Ekpiteta M. 19. Lavery S. 8. Morgan A. 1. O'Donnell R. (G) 15. Weir J.
Coaches
Manning L.	Critchley N.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Oxford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Oxford have a series of home games.

Oxford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Oxford won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League One
07.10.23	Oxford United - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Oxford United - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Stevenage Borough - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Oxford United - Exeter City	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Oxford United - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL
- Blackpool
English League One
14.10.23	Blackpool - Stevenage Borough	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Blackpool - Liverpool U21	5:2 ✺
English League One
07.10.23	Charlton Athletic - Blackpool	2:2 ✺
03.10.23	Blackpool - Derby County	1:3 ✺
30.09.23	Barnsley - Blackpool	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.05.21	Blackpool - Oxford United	3:3
18.05.21	Oxford United - Blackpool	0:3
20.03.21	Oxford United - Blackpool	0:2
12.12.20	Blackpool - Oxford United	0:0
01.02.20	Oxford United - Blackpool	2:1
17.08.19	Blackpool - Oxford United	2:1
23.02.19	Blackpool - Oxford United	0:1

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