Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Middleton D. (Eng)


	Oxford United		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4.2
	1.85	3.75	4	Watch
	1.83	3.79	4.45
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.8	3.75	4.25	Watch
	1.81	3.7	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.95)	3.7 ↑ (3.62)	4.13 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
51.9%

Draw
25.4%

Exeter City
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Oxford United - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beadle J. (G) 2. Long S. 5. Moore E. (C) 4. Thorniley J. 3. Brown C. 8. Brannagan C. 18. McGuane M. 7. Mills S. 20. Rodrigues R. 29. Edwards K. 10. Bodin B.	1. Sinisalo V. (G) 26. Sweeney P. 4. Aimson W. (C) 5. Hartridge A. 16. Kite H. 6. Carroll T. 8. Trevitt R. 3. Jules Z. 12. Cole R. 7. Mitchell D. 13. Wildschut Y.
Substitutes
13. Eastwood S. (G) 19. Goodrham T. 22. Leigh G. 6. McEachran J. 23. Murphy J. 28. Negru S. 15. Stevens F.	19. Cox S. 24. Fitzwater J. 31. Harper V. 11. Scott J. 23. Taylor K. 17. Watts C. 33. Woods G. (G)
Coaches
Manning L.	Caldwell G.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Exeter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Exeter have a series of home games.

In this match Oxford is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Oxford won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Oxford United - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1 ✺
English League One
16.09.23	Fleetwood Town - Oxford United	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Northampton Town - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
English League One
02.09.23	Oxford United - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Oxford United - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW
- Exeter City
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Exeter City - Reading	0:9 ✺
English League One
16.09.23	Exeter City - Cheltenham Town	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Exeter City - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Burton Albion - Exeter City	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Exeter City - Stevenage Borough	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.01.23	Oxford United - Exeter City	0:1
English FA Cup
26.11.22	Oxford United - Exeter City	4:1
English League One
15.10.22	Exeter City - Oxford United	2:4
English EFL Trophy
04.12.19	Exeter City - Oxford United	1:0 penalties
English League Two
23.02.16	Exeter City - Oxford United	1:4
26.12.15	Oxford United - Exeter City	3:0
24.01.15	Oxford United - Exeter City	2:2

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