Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 11

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)


	Oxford United		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	6
	1.57	3.9	5.5
	1.55	4	6	Watch
	1.57	4.1	6.28
	1.53	4	6
	1.56	4.05	5.75	Watch
	1.58	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	3.96 ↑ (3.88)	5.88 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
60.2%

Draw
23.8%

Shrewsbury Town
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

23.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Oxford United - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Oxford United will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beadle J. (G) 15. Stevens F. 5. Moore E. (C) 2. Long S. 3. Brown C. 8. Brannagan C. 18. McGuane M. 20. Rodrigues R. 10. Bodin B. 22. Leigh G. 9. Harris M.	1. Marosi M. (G) 5. Feeney M. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 33. Flanagan T. 42. Kenneh N. 17. Bennett E. 7. Winchester C. 20. Bayliss T. 4. Anderson J. 9. Bowman R. 10. Phillips K.
Substitutes
13. Eastwood S. (G) 19. Goodrham T. 6. McEachran J. 7. Mills S. 23. Murphy J. 39. O'Donkor G. 4. Thorniley J.	3. Benning M. 13. Burgoyne H. (G) 25. Fleming B. 27. Mata M. 14. Perry T. 15. Sobowale T. 11. Udoh D.
Coaches
Manning L.	Taylor M.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 3.

Oxford is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shrewsbury is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Oxford is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Oxford to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Oxford won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League One
30.09.23	Stevenage Borough - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Oxford United - Exeter City	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Oxford United - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1 ✺
English League One
16.09.23	Fleetwood Town - Oxford United	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Northampton Town - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW
- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
30.09.23	Shrewsbury Town - Charlton Athletic	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Leyton Orient - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Shrewsbury Town - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:0 penalties ✺
English League One
16.09.23	Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.02.23	Oxford United - Shrewsbury Town	0:1
09.11.22	Shrewsbury Town - Oxford United	1:1
12.03.22	Shrewsbury Town - Oxford United	1:2
19.10.21	Oxford United - Shrewsbury Town	2:0
01.05.21	Shrewsbury Town - Oxford United	2:3
13.04.21	Oxford United - Shrewsbury Town	4:1
07.03.20	Shrewsbury Town - Oxford United	2:3

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