Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: NATIONAL DIVISION - ROUND 30

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday


	Pétange		Etzella Ettelbruck

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.6	5.75
	1.49	5.29	4.8
	1.41	4.75	6
	1.4	4.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.31)	4.84 ↓ (5.11)	5.59 ↓ (7.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pétange
64.6%

Draw
19%

Etzella Ettelbruck
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

17.8%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

16.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pétange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pétange's form might have worsened.

Etzella Ettelbruck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pétange than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etzella Ettelbruck than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pétange won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Pétange is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pétange won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pétange won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Titus Pétange
Luxembourg National Division
14.05.23	Mondercange - Pétange	4:1 ✺
07.05.23	UNA Strassen - Pétange	0:3 ✺
30.04.23	Pétange - Racing Luxembourg	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Hostert - Pétange	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Pétange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTWL
- Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg National Division
14.05.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - UNA Strassen	3:0 ✺
07.05.23	Racing Luxembourg - Etzella Ettelbruck	2:2 ✺
30.04.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - Hostert	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:1 ✺
16.04.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - Jeunesse Esch	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
06.08.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Pétange	2:0
24.04.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Pétange	0:1
Luxembourg Cup
20.04.22	Pétange - Etzella Ettelbruck	2:0
Luxembourg National Division
21.11.21	Pétange - Etzella Ettelbruck	4:1
03.03.21	Pétange - Etzella Ettelbruck	0:0
20.10.19	Etzella Ettelbruck - Pétange	1:2
07.04.13	Pétange - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:1

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