Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 30

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Municipal de Pétange (Petange)


	Pétange		Swift Hesperange

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.1	3.35
	1.79	3.5	3.76
	2.04	3.23	3.47	Watch
	2	3	3.3
	2.01	3.24	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.1)	3.21 ↑ (3.09)	3.45 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pétange
45.8%

Draw
28.1%

Swift Hesperange
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.3%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pétange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Swift Hesperange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pétange than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swift Hesperange than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Pétange - Swift Hesperange Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barrela L. (C) 27. Ali D. . Diallo M. 34. El Idrissi A. 81. Ferreira G. 19. Gustavo 70. Hermandung T. 14. Kourouma M. 77. Lognard N. 4. Noode S. 3. Vechviroon N.	42. Kiambu C. (G) 89. Bochu N. 6. Bouazzati Y. 2. Cikotic E. 3. El Foukhari I. 24. Herbin G. 11. Morabet M. 12. Neves E. 29. Nguinda P. 14. Ninte Junior F. 26. Prempeh J. (C)
Substitutes
21. Arab S. 17. Goncalves R. 30. Karim L. (G) 23. Martins N. 11. Nguessan K. . Sanduco F. 7. Schaus Y.	8. Belliard H. 23. Cisse M. 22. Drame S. 5. Erkus E. 99. Iecle E. (G) 15. Savane H. 78. Tshiabuiye G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pétange won 1.

Pétange has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Swift Hesperange is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pétange might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pétange won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pétange won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Hesperange	8	0	0	8	2:30	-28	-12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Titus Pétange
Luxembourg National Division
17.05.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Pétange	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Pétange - F91 Dudelange	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Jeunesse Esch - Pétange	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Pétange - Differdange 03	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Jeunesse Canach - Pétange	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWTLW
- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
17.05.26	Swift Hesperange - Victoria Rosport	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Swift Hesperange - Hostert	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Swift Hesperange	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Swift Hesperange - F91 Dudelange	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Jeunesse Esch - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
03.08.25	Swift Hesperange - Pétange	0:0
25.05.25	Pétange - Swift Hesperange	0:3
04.08.24	Swift Hesperange - Pétange	4:0
11.02.24	Swift Hesperange - Pétange	3:3
13.08.23	Pétange - Swift Hesperange	2:0
05.03.23	Pétange - Swift Hesperange	2:1
03.09.22	Swift Hesperange - Pétange	3:3

Pétange - Swift Hesperange: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide