Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 4
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 1
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 7
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hungary	18:45	M4 Sport
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	18:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 6
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+, Prima+ app


	PAOK		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.2
	1.88	3.5	4.1
	1.9	3.6	4.2
	1.91	3.7	4.42
	1.84	3.66	4.29	Watch
	1.91	3.4	4.2
	1.92	3.7	4.45
	1.9	3.6	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.7)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	4.26 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
50.8%

Draw
26.8%

Ferencvárosi
22.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

25.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

27.4%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	14.3%	38.1%

PAOK - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 30 - 48.4%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 24 - 38.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 36% – 60.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Kotarski D. (G) 19. Jonny Otto 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. R. 2. Camara M. 27. Ozdoev M. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 7. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B.	90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 27. Cisse I. 3. Gartenmann S. 99. Ramirez C. 88. Rommens P. 80. Maiga H. 30. Gruber Z. 15. Abu Fani M. 20. Traore A. 11. Saldanha
Substitutes
54. Balomenos K. (G) 9. Chalov F. 15. Colley O. 77. Despodov K. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 23. Sastre J. 22. Schwab S. 47. Shoretire S. 25. Thymianis K. 34. Tissoudali T.	7. Ben Romdhane M. A. 10. Kady Borges 54. Kajan N. 93. Misidjan V. 8. Pesic A. 63. Radnoti D. (G) 34. Raul Gustavo 22. Szalai G. 64. Toth A. 1. Varga A. (G) 16. Zachariassen K.
Coaches
Lucescu R.	Jansen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Taison ⚽, Konstantelias G. (A),
13', Saldanha 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Thomas B. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
31', Abu Fani M. 🟨,
37', Ramirez C. 🟨,
45+2', Taison 🟨,
45+2', Gruber Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Rommens P. ↓, Zachariassen K. ↑,
50', Camara M. 🟨,
62', Thomas B. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
66', Traore A. ↓, Kady Borges ↑,
66', Gruber Z. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
74', Taison ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Chalov F. ⚽, Despodov K. (A),
77', Maiga H. ↓, Toth A. ↑,
77', Cisse I. ↓, Raul Gustavo ↑,
80', 4 - 0, Zivkovic A. (Pen),
83', Zivkovic A. ↓, Shoretire S. ↑,
83', Camara M. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
89', 5 - 0, Despodov K. ⚽, Jonny Otto (A),

Preview

PAOK in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ferencvárosi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferencvárosi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

PAOK will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in PAOK: Bakayoko T. (Injury) Vieirinha (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Raul Gustavo (Broken collarbone) Varga B. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in PAOK: Lovren D. (Calf Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
08.12.24	Panserraikos - PAOK	1:4 ✺
Greek Cup
04.12.24	PAOK - Egaleo	7:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.12.24	PAOK - Athens Kallithea	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	RFS - PAOK	0:2 ✺
Greek Super League
24.11.24	Asteras Tripolis - PAOK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTWW
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
08.12.24	Ferencvárosi - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:0 ✺
05.12.24	Debreceni - Ferencvárosi	5:4 ✺
01.12.24	Ujpest - Ferencvárosi	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Ferencvárosi - Malmö	4:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
24.11.24	Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTWT

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