Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Daugavas stadions (Riga)

Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 8
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 10, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 13, Blue Sport 13, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	RFS		PAOK

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.7
	4.6	3.8	1.72
	4.75	4	1.72	Watch
	4.82	4.01	1.73
	4.7	4.03	1.7	Watch
	4.75	3.9	1.7
	4.87	4.19	1.75
	4.8	4.05	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↓ (4.9)	3.99 ↑ (3.55)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFS
20.2%

Draw
24%

PAOK
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

25.8%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

23.7%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.5%	14.8%	66.7%

RFS - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). PAOK will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ondoa F. (G) 2. Balodis D. 23. Prenga H. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 11. Savalnieks R. 27. Markhiev A. 26. Panic S. 18. Zelenkovs D. 8. Odisharia L. 9. Ikaunieks J. 17. Kouadio C.	42. Kotarski D. (G) 19. Jonny Otto 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. R. 27. Ozdoev M. 2. Camara M. 77. Despodov K. 7. Konstantelias G. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 9. Chalov F.
Substitutes
10. Emerson Deocleciano 22. Lemajic D. 25. Mares P. 15. Ndjiki R. 30. Njie H. 3. Osuagwu V. 77. Silagadze L. 1. Steinbors P. (G) 21. Stuglis E. 16. Vilkovs S. (G)	54. Balomenos K. (G) 15. Colley O. 90. Kottas D. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 23. Sastre J. 47. Shoretire S. 25. Thymianis K. 34. Tissoudali T.
Coaches
Morozs V.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Despodov K. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
28', Markhiev A. ↓, Silagadze L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Michailidis G. ↓, Colley O. ↑,
47', Camara M. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Chalov F. ⚽, Despodov K. (A),
66', Balodis D. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
66', Chalov F. ↓, Tissoudali T. ↑,
70', Prenga H. ↓, Stuglis E. ↑,
81', Despodov K. ↓, Shoretire S. ↑,
81', Jonny Otto ↓, Sastre J. ↑,
82', Morozs V. 🟨,
86', Konstantelias G. ↓, Thymianis K. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Daugavas stadions.

RFS is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches PAOK is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently RFS have a series of home games.

Recently PAOK have a series of guest games.

In this match PAOK is a favorite.

There will not play in RFS: Diomande I. (Knee Injury) Emerson Deocleciano (Leg Injury) Jatta A. (Back Injury) Kigurs M. (Knee Injury) Mares P. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in PAOK: Bakayoko T. (Injury) Pavlenka J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in RFS: Lipuscek Z. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in PAOK: Schwab S. (Illness) Taison (Illness)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK RFS
Club Friendly
22.11.24	RFS - Flora Tallinn	3:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
10.11.24	RFS - Riga	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	RFS - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
03.11.24	Grobiņa - RFS	0:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
30.10.24	RFS - Auda Riga	4:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTWW
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
24.11.24	Asteras Tripolis - PAOK	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Manchester United - PAOK	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
03.11.24	Lamia - PAOK	1:2 ✺
Greek Cup
30.10.24	Egaleo - PAOK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWW

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