Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	PAOK		Omonia

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	7
	1.53	4.33	6
	1.54	4	6.9
	1.52	3.9	6.4
	1.54	4.12	6.91
	1.5	4	7
	1.53	4.4	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.79)	4.14 ↑ (3.71)	6.74 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
62.7%

Draw
23.1%

Omonia
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.5%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

16.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PAOK's performance.

Omonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Omonia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-27.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PAOK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Omonia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86%	7%	7%

PAOK - Omonia Predictions

Users Predictions: PAOK will win (147 of 171 users predict this - 85.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.75% – 91.17%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

PAOK has a good chance of round of 32 (52%), has a chance of round of 16 (21%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Omonia has a small chance of round of 32 (14%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (3%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches PAOK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Omonia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match PAOK is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
18.10.20	AEK Athens - PAOK	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	PAOK - OFI	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.20	PAOK - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
26.09.20	Volos - PAOK	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.09.20	Krasnodar - PAOK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWLTL
- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
18.10.20	Ethnikos Achna - Omonia	1:2 ✺
04.10.20	Omonia - AEL Limassol	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.09.20	Omonia - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0 ✺
23.09.20	Olympiacos Piraeus - Omonia	2:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
20.09.20	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTLW

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