Match Info

Super League - Championship Group - Round 2

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Allwyn Arena (Athens)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Australia	ANT1 Pacific
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Usa	ANT1 Satellite


	AEK Athens		PAOK

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.1	4.1	Watch
	2.15	3.05	3.8	Watch
	2.11	3.35	3.83
	1.99	3.26	3.93	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	1.99	3.09	4.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.29)	3.16 ↓ (3.31)	3.89 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
46.1%

Draw
29.8%

PAOK
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Athens's performance.

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAOK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PAOK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	25%	35%

AEK Athens - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 8 - 40%). PAOK will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 29. Penrice J. 8. Gacinovic M. 18. Marin R. 13. Pineda O. 37. Pereyra R. 90. Zini 25. Varga B.	99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 35. Sanchez J. 16. Kedziora T. 6. Lovren D. 21. Baba A. R. 27. Ozdoev M. 20. Zafeiris C. 52. Chatsidis D. 65. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison (C) 19. Jeremejeff A.
Substitutes
91. Brignoli A. (G) 15. Georgiev M. 4. Grujic M. 10. Joao Mario 9. Jovic L. 17. Kaloskamis D. 11. Koita A. 7. Kutesa D. 23. Ljubicic R. 3. Pilios S. 80. Sahabo H. 21. Vida D.	22. Bianco A. 2. Camara M. 18. Ivanusec L. 3. Kenny J. 8. Meite S. 5. Michailidis G. 56. Mythou A. 1. Pavlenka J. (G) 10. Pelkas D. 32. Taylor G. 4. Vogliacco A. 14. Zivkovic A.
Coaches
Nikolic M.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Sanchez J. 🟨,
30', Gacinovic M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Kedziora T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lovren D. ↓, Michailidis G. ↑,
46', Sanchez J. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
47', Zafeiris C. 🟨,
51', Konstantelias G. 🟨,
56', Gacinovic M. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
56', Penrice J. ↓, Pilios S. ↑,
58', Zafeiris C. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
58', Chatsidis D. ↓, Zivkovic A. ↑,
67', Pereyra R. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Koita A. ⚽, Pineda O. (A),
80', 3 - 0, Pineda O. ⚽,
82', Taison ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
85', Zini ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems) Mantalos P. (Injury)

There will not play in PAOK: Despodov K. (Muscle Injury) Kenny J. (Heel Injury) Meite S. (Inactive) Zivkovic A. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

PAOK: 13.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AEK Athens	6	4	2	0	16:3	13	14
3	PAOK	5	4	0	1	12:5	7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	AEK Athens - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
09.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - AEK Athens	3:0 ✺
Greek Super League
05.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	AEK Athens - AE Kifisia	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	AEK Athens - Celje	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWL
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
05.04.26	PAOK - Panathinaikos	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Volos - PAOK	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	PAOK - Levadiakos	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	AE Kifisia - PAOK	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
15.02.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	0:0
19.10.25	AEK Athens - PAOK	0:2
11.05.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	1:0
30.03.25	AEK Athens - PAOK	2:3
02.02.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	1:2
Greek Cup
09.01.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	1:1 ET
18.12.24	AEK Athens - PAOK	1:0

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