The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Madura United 27.8%
Draw 25.3%
Dewa United 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
24%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
23.6%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Dewa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Madura United - Dewa United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Diky M. (G) 15. Numberi G. 3. Monteiro P. 68. Rusadi A. 6. Ruxi 5. Palic K. 4. Wehrmann J. 77. Alesandro F. 10. Iran Junior 11. Lulinha (C) 9. Junior Brandao
92. Stevens S. (G) 4. Johnathan 2. Kuipers N. 17. Lowe D. 37. Ballah A. 8. Jaja 18. Jenner I. 28. Messidoro A. 19. Kambuaya R. (C) 77. Sadaoui N. 27. Struick R.
Substitutes
25. Afrisal R. 23. Emerson Souza 26. Harlan A. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 99. Kusuma A. 24. Muslihuddin T. 7. Nufiandani A. 19. Riquelme 12. Rizki F. 2. Sasongko N. 17. Sitanggang P.
31. Al Gasemi D. (G) 14. Fatari B. 97. Febriansyah E. 5. Lilipaly S. 11. Marukawa T. 1. Natshir M. (G) 6. Numberi T. 3. Prasetyo W. 23. Setiawan A. 99. Tanaka K. 10. Vikri E.
Coaches
Basuki R.
Riekerink J. O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Junior Brandao ⚽, Iran Junior (A),
32', Kambuaya R. 🟨,
45+4', Jenner I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Jaja ↓, Marukawa T. ↑,
46', Struick R. ↓, Marukawa T. ↑,
46', Junior Brandao ↓, Riquelme ↑,
46', Riquelme 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Kambuaya R. ⚽, Marukawa T. (A),
54', 1 - 2, Kambuaya R. ⚽, Johnathan (A),
58', Vikri E. 🟨,
70', Iran Junior ↓, Emerson Souza ↑,
71', Lulinha ↓, Nufiandani A. ↑,
71', Ruxi ↓, Hidayat T. ↑,
76', Messidoro A. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
80', Wehrmann J. ↓, Kusuma A. ↑,
84', Kambuaya R. ↓, Numberi T. ↑,
85', Sadaoui N. 🟨,
87', Johnathan 🟨,
90', Johnathan ↓, Prasetyo W. ↑,
90+8', Lowe D. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 2.
Recent performances by Madura United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dewa United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Dewa United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Dewa United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 2.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Madura United won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 2.6:1.6).
Indonesia
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Diky M. (G) 
Monteiro P. 
Ruxi 
Palic K. 
Wehrmann J. 
Iran Junior 
Lowe D. 
Messidoro A. 
Sadaoui N. 
Marukawa T. 
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