Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 20

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Maguwoharjo Stadium (Yogyakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	PSS Sleman		Semen Padang

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.1
	1.71	3.55	4.3
	1.8	3.8	4.57
	1.75	3.66	4.52	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.4
	1.67	3.58	4.52	Watch
	1.71	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.73)	3.55 ↑ (3.54)	4.39 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSS Sleman
53.2%

Draw
25.9%

Semen Padang
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.3%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSS Sleman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSS Sleman than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

PSS Sleman - Semen Padang Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sleman will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Semen Padang will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Alan (G) 87. Figo A. 19. Aryanto F. (C) 6. Gomes K. 96. Lestaluhu A. 55. Hariono J. 8. Betinho 76. Dion D. 10. Vico 24. Cardoso N. 11. Gustavo Tocantins	1. Augusto A. (G) 12. Saputra F. 30. Wakaso A. 44. Martic T. 55. Reksa B. 8. Ariansyah R. 31. Setiawan R. (C) 9. Stewart C. 7. Chaby F. 18. Pagamo G. 17. Gomes B.
Substitutes
5. Alhawari S. 69. Bimazawawi M. 9. Caraka H. 33. Hamisi W. 7. Marcelo Cirino 78. Nanda I. 17. Ofosu-Ayeh P. 32. Rizky E. (G) 31. Romadhona S. (G) 20. Simanjuntak R. 77. Sitanggang P. 14. Wamu D.	25. Afandi Z. 71. Amiruddin T. (G) 13. Djin D. A. 6. Iqbal M. 5. Kim Min-Kyu 20. Majefat M. 29. Mila I. 66. Nofiansyah D. 65. Sapalas D.
Coaches
de Freitas U.	Almeida E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Gustavo Tocantins ⚽, Betinho (A),
15', 2 - 0, Dion D. ⚽, Gustavo Tocantins (A),
21', Saputra F. 🟨,
21', Saputra F. ↓, Djin D. A. ↑,
26', Saputra F. 🟥,
27', 2 - 1, Stewart C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Figo A. ↓, Ofosu-Ayeh P. ↑,
46', Dion D. ↓, Simanjuntak R. ↑,
49', 2 - 2, Martic T. ⚽, Gomes B. (A),
61', Cardoso N. ↓, Marcelo Cirino ↑,
68', 2 - 3, Gomes B. ⚽, Chaby F. (A),
73', Lestaluhu A. ↓, Sitanggang P. ↑,
73', Gomes K. ↓, Caraka H. ↑,
78', Chaby F. ↓, Mila I. ↑,
79', 2 - 4, Gomes B. ⚽,
84', Setiawan R. ↓, Iqbal M. ↑,
90+6', Iqbal M. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Sleman is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Semen Padang is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sleman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sleman is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sleman won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sleman won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSS Sleman
Indonesian Super League
19.01.25	Persik Kediri - PSS Sleman	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	PSS Sleman - Persebaya Surabaya	3:1 ✺
27.12.24	PSS Sleman - Madura United	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Persija Jakarta - PSS Sleman	3:1 ✺
17.12.24	PSS Sleman - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWLW
- Semen Padang
Indonesian Super League
20.01.25	Semen Padang - Bali United Pusam	1:5 ✺
14.01.25	Borneo Samarinda - Semen Padang	1:3 ✺
27.12.24	Semen Padang - Arema	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Persik Kediri - Semen Padang	3:1 ✺
15.12.24	Semen Padang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
26.08.24	Semen Padang - PSS Sleman	1:0
13.09.19	Semen Padang - PSS Sleman	0:1
25.05.19	PSS Sleman - Semen Padang	1:1
Indonesian Championship
04.12.18	PSS Sleman - Semen Padang	2:0

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