Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Maguwoharjo Stadium (Yogyakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	PSS Sleman		Persebaya Surabaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	3	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.07	2.36	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.05	3.08	2.24	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.77)	3.09 ↑ (2.93)	2.27 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSS Sleman
30.4%

Draw
29.5%

Persebaya Surabaya
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

30.9%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

32%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSS Sleman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSS Sleman than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-5%)

PSS Sleman - Persebaya Surabaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Alan (G) 19. Aryanto F. 8. Betinho 24. Cardoso N. 4. Cleberson 76. Dion D. 6. Gomes K. 11. Gustavo Tocantins 33. Hamisi W. 96. Lestaluhu A. 10. Vico	21. Ari E. (G) 77. Botan K. 10. Bruno 2. Catur A. 6. Costa G. 15. Damjanovic S. 68. Firmansyah T. 32. Lauhim R. 23. Raditya K. 74. Rashid M. 17. Silva F.
Substitutes
9. Caraka H. 7. Marcelo Cirino 72. Mutzi C. 78. Nanda I. 17. Ofosu-Ayeh P. 25. Oktavana G. 36. Rivan Satria Hutama R. 32. Rizky E. (G) 31. Romadhona S. (G) 20. Simanjuntak R. 77. Sitanggang P. 14. Wamu D.	64. Arya A. (G) 4. Dimov D. 27. Fernando O. 79. Malik R. 18. May R. 8. Oktaviansyah A. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 9. Rizky D. 28. Suaib A. 91. Tumbas D.
Coaches
de Freitas U.	Munster P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Gustavo Tocantins ⚽, Lestaluhu A. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Cleberson ⚽, Betinho (A),
20', Hamisi W. 🟨,
36', Vico 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 0, Cardoso N. ⚽, Gustavo Tocantins (A),
45+6', Lauhim R. 🟨,
45+8', Firmansyah T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Firmansyah T. ↓, Malik R. ↑,
46', Lauhim R. ↓, Tumbas D. ↑,
46', Botan K. ↓, Tumbas D. ↑,
59', 3 - 1, Bruno (Pen),
63', Vico ↓, Ofosu-Ayeh P. ↑,
64', Dion D. ↓, Sitanggang P. ↑,
70', Cardoso N. ↓, Caraka H. ↑,
74', Costa G. 🟨,
75', Costa G. ↓, Fernando O. ↑,
79', Raditya K. ↓, Dimov D. ↑,
80', Malik R. 🟨,
80', Fernando O. 🟨,
87', Gustavo Tocantins ↓, Marcelo Cirino ↑,
87', Hamisi W. ↓, Nanda I. ↑,
90+2', Bruno 🟨,
90+6', Catur A. 🟨,
90+7', Caraka H. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sleman won 0.

Recent matches Sleman is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Persebaya Surabaya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Persebaya Surabaya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Persebaya Surabaya will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sleman won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sleman won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSS Sleman
Indonesian Super League
27.12.24	PSS Sleman - Madura United	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Persija Jakarta - PSS Sleman	3:1 ✺
17.12.24	PSS Sleman - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
13.12.24	PSM Makassar - PSS Sleman	1:1 ✺
09.12.24	PSS Sleman - Persib Bandung	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWTL
- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
28.12.24	Bali United Pusam - Persebaya Surabaya	2:0 ✺
20.12.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Semen Padang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0 ✺
11.12.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Persik Kediri	4:1 ✺
07.12.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Arema	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
11.08.24	Persebaya Surabaya - PSS Sleman	1:0
03.03.24	Persebaya Surabaya - PSS Sleman	2:1
26.08.23	PSS Sleman - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0
13.02.23	Persebaya Surabaya - PSS Sleman	4:2
27.08.22	PSS Sleman - Persebaya Surabaya	0:1
29.01.22	Persebaya Surabaya - PSS Sleman	1:0
29.09.21	PSS Sleman - Persebaya Surabaya	1:3

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