Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Woudestein (Rotterdam)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Excelsior		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.75	1.45	Watch
	6.00	5.25	1.44
	6.3	4.75	1.45
	7.07	5.3	1.43
	6.53	5.05	1.43	Watch
	7.05	5.3	1.38
	6.76	4.88	1.48	Watch
	6	5.2	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.5 ↑ (4.86)	5.06 ↑ (4.3)	1.44 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior
14.7%

Draw
18.8%

PSV Eindhoven
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

21.9%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

19%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSV Eindhoven's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Gassel S. (G) 3. Meissen R. 4. Widell C. (C) 14. Plug J. 15. Janssen S. 20. Hartjes L. 8. Yegoian I. 6. van Vianen D. 7. Sliti A. 19. Garden D. 21. Silva Timas I.	32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 6. Flamingo R. 4. Obispo A. 17. Mauro Junior (C) 10. Wanner P. 23. Veerman J. 5. Perisic I. 20. Til G. 7. van Bommel R. 9. Pepi R.
Substitutes
16. Biai C. (G) 24. Cairo G. 9. Dominguez M. 23. Finey Y. 28. Groen N. 5. Henderikx S. 30. Jahanbakhsh A. 17. Martens N. 18. Sulzbacher V. 22. Turay O.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 37. Bouhamdi A. 3. Gasiorowski Y. 27. Man D. 38. Merien F. 21. Mijnans S. 41. Ngom K. (G) 1. Olij N. (G) 24. Sano K. 25. Sildillia K.
Coaches
den Uil R.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, van Bommel R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sliti A. ↓, Martens N. ↑,
46', Silva Timas I. ↓, Turay O. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Widell C. ⚽, Yegoian I. (A),
56', 1 - 2, Pepi R. ⚽, Dest S. (A),
63', van Bommel R. ↓, Bouhamdi A. ↑,
63', Wanner P. ↓, Sano K. ↑,
68', Garden D. ↓, Groen N. ↑,
72', Perisic I. ↓, Man D. ↑,
74', Hartjes L. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
80', Janssen S. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
80', van Vianen D. ↓, Finey Y. ↑,
84', Pepi R. ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
88', Plug J. 🟨,
89', Dest S. ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0.

Excelsior is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

PSV's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Excelsior has had a series of away games.

Recently, PSV has had a series of home games.

In this match, PSV is considered a favorite.

There will not play in PSV: Schouten J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Excelsior: Bos K. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Driouech C. (Knock)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 15:56. (average 0.8:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:26. (average 0.9:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	PSV	8	6	1	1	26:10	16	19
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15:9	6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
07.08.26	Cambuur - Excelsior	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	De Graafschap - Excelsior	1:5 ✺
24.07.26	Heracles Almelo - Excelsior	1:4 ✺
18.07.26	NAC Breda - Excelsior	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Excelsior - Cambuur	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
08.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
Dutch Super Cup
02.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	PSV Eindhoven - FC Eindhoven	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	PSV Eindhoven - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
10.01.26	PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior	5:1
27.09.25	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	1:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.25	PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior	5:4 ET
Dutch Eredivisie
02.04.24	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	0:2
13.01.24	PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior	3:1
08.04.23	PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior	4:0
28.08.22	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	1:6

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