Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Ferreira V. (Por)


	Paços de Ferreira		Leiria

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.85
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.9	3.35	1.9
	4.27	3.45	1.93
	3.95	3.27	1.96	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.1
	3.9	3.49	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.4)	3.31 ↓ (3.32)	1.95 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
24.6%

Draw
27.9%

Leiria
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paços de Ferreira's form might have worsened.

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiria's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Paços de Ferreira - Leiria Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Leiria will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Paços de Ferreira (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paços de Ferreira (votes: 1 - 50%). Leiria (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Marafona (G) 4. Kauan 23. Ferreira T. (C) 2. Cardoso G. 21. Anilson 8. Pavlic I. 88. Francisco Ramos 6. Joao Caiado 90. Lumungo R. 9. Victor J. 15. Dias L.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 52. Sylla H. 16. Ze Pedro 5. Rofino V. G. 3. Baro M. 68. Maga 17. Lucho Vega 41. Daniel Borges 11. Jair da Silva 9. Munoz J. (C) 19. Fernandez P.
Substitutes
30. Costinha 3. Diegao 33. Fernandinho 19. Gomes F. 12. Jeimes (G) 99. Liberal A. 10. Matheus Martins 36. Silva V. 5. Sousa A.	25. Amado D. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 20. Gomes B. 18. Lottin A. 72. Oliveira V. 7. Quizera F. 78. Santos J. 15. Silva J. 14. Ze Vitor
Coaches
Candido F.	Pereira F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Lucho Vega 🟨,
19', Maga 🟨,
20', Baro M. 🟨,
25', Ze Vitor 🟨,
35', Lumungo R. 🟨,
36', Francisco Ramos 🟨,
40', Daniel Borges 🟨,
44', Munoz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Daniel Borges ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
46', Baro M. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
46', Maga ↓, Quizera F. ↑,
59', Lumungo R. ↓, Costinha ↑,
66', Dias L. ↓, Silva V. ↑,
66', Joao Caiado ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
73', Lucho Vega ↓, Gomes B. ↑,
81', Fernandez P. ↓, Amado D. ↑,
82', Pavlic I. ↓, Nito ↑,
88', Ze Pedro 🟨,

Preview

Leiria's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leiria could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
16.08.25	Académico de Viseu - Paços de Ferreira	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Paços de Ferreira - Vizela	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Fafe - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
30.07.25	Paços de Ferreira - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
01.06.25	Paços de Ferreira - Belenenses	2:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTLW
- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
17.08.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Leiria - Académico de Viseu	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.25	Leiria - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Farense - Leiria	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Cádiz - Leiria	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
25.04.25	Paços de Ferreira - Leiria	2:3
14.12.24	Leiria - Paços de Ferreira	0:1
22.12.23	Leiria - Paços de Ferreira	1:1
12.08.23	Paços de Ferreira - Leiria	0:0
Liga Portugal
29.01.12	Leiria - Paços de Ferreira	N/A

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