Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Relegation - Final

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Paços de Ferreira		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.88	3.4	4.1
	1.93	3.52	4.17
	1.87	3.41	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.87	3.49	4.04
	1.88	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)	3.32 ↓ (3.37)	3.99 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
48.9%

Draw
27.9%

Belenenses
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

28.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Paços de Ferreira - Belenenses Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Belenenses will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Belenenses (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Belenenses (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Marafona (G) 5. Antunes V. (C) 4. Cardoso G. 3. Diegao 23. Ferigra E. 19. Fonte R. 6. Joao Caiado 22. Mota . Pavlic I. 13. Pinto J. 8. Welton	22. Grilo D. (G) 27. Barros E. 5. Brasido D. 17. Horta Leitao D. 21. Morgado T. 4. Nuno Tomas 20. Paulo D. 9. Pereira R. 39. Pinto A. 11. Sambu M. 15. Tavares J.
Substitutes
21. Anilson 37. Brito R. 30. Costinha 2. Icaro 99. Liberal A. 90. Lumungo R. 10. Morozov V. . Oliveira J. 18. Pedro R.	26. Acosta Pinerez C. A. 16. Carvalho R. 13. Cuca 29. Ekanga Ondoa H. O. 23. Fernandes X. 8. Gomes Tavares D. 6. Maria G. 10. Moninhas T. 24. Neto T. (G)
Coaches
Candido F.	Nuno J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Antunes V. 🟨,
26', Sambu M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Horta Leitao D. ↓, Ekanga Ondoa H. O. ↑,
56', Grilo D. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Antunes V. (Pen),
62', Pinto J. ↓, Costinha ↑,
66', Tavares J. ↓, Fernandes X. ↑,
68', Sambu M. ↓, Acosta Pinerez C. A. ↑,
72', Acosta Pinerez C. A. 🟨,
78', Costinha 🟨,
79', Brasido D. 🟨,
81', Fonte R. 🟨,
82', Joao Caiado ↓, Liberal A. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Mota ↓, Anilson ↑,
102', Fonte R. ↓, Morozov V. ↑,
102', Antunes V. ↓, Pedro R. ↑,
105+1', 2 - 0, Morozov V. ⚽,
106', Nuno Tomas ↓, Gomes Tavares D. ↑,
106', Morgado T. ↓, Moninhas T. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Recent form of Paços de Ferreira has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Belenenses is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paços de Ferreira might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
24.05.25	Belenenses - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Académico de Viseu - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Alverca - Paços de Ferreira	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Paços de Ferreira - Leiria	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
24.05.25	Belenenses - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.05.25	Belenenses - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Amarante - Belenenses	1:4 ✺
04.05.25	Belenenses - Fafe	3:2 ✺
26.04.25	Varzim - Belenenses	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
24.05.25	Belenenses - Paços de Ferreira	2:1
17.05.24	Paços de Ferreira - Belenenses	2:1
13.01.24	Belenenses - Paços de Ferreira	0:1

Paços de Ferreira - Belenenses: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide