The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paços de Ferreira 55.3%
Draw 24.6%
Penafiel 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
25.5%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.4%
26%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Paços de Ferreira - Penafiel Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rafa (G) 21. Anilson 23. Ferreira T. (C) 77. Rafael 15. Dias L. 26. Cunha N. 8. Costa D. 90. Lumungo R. 13. Pinto J. 36. Silva V. 9. Victor J.
1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 5. Sanchez J. 4. Miguel J. (C) 33. Moreira C. 27. Negrao G. 17. Kebe I. 8. Reko 14. Pereira B. 28. Schutte R. 19. Alcaina R. 34. Ze Leite
Substitutes
2. Cardoso G. 47. da Silva Moreira I. A. 3. Diegao 7. Diego Fernandes 11. Fale M. 12. Jeimes (G) 4. Kauan 22. Mota 19. Nito
88. Alves R. 7. Anzai S. 37. Davo 18. Escario J. 32. Femenias J. (G) 61. Injai M. 2. lano Imbene 21. Pedro Sa 95. Sery J.
Coaches
Braga N.
Aira J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Miguel J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Reko ↓, Alves R. ↑,
55', Ze Leite ↓, Davo ↑,
55', Silva V. ↓, Fale M. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Kebe I. ⚽,
66', Pinto J. ↓, da Silva Moreira I. A. ↑,
66', Cunha N. ↓, Nito ↑,
67', Schutte R. ↓, Escario J. ↑,
74', Negrao G. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
74', Miguel J. ↓, lano Imbene ↑,
77', Oliveira Miguel 🟨,
80', Rafael ↓, Mota ↑,
80', Victor J. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Mota ⚽,
88', Nito 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Costa D. ⚽,
90+7', Moreira C. 🟨,
90+8', Rafa 🟨,
90+8', Fale M. 🟨,
90+9', Alves R. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Paços de Ferreira is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:13. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Penafiel
6
4
1
1
13:5
8
13
Last Results with these Odds
Penafiel - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24.28%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Rafa (G) 
Anilson 
Costa D. 
Lumungo R. 
Sanchez J. 
Kebe I. 
Nito 
Anzai S. 
Sery J. 
