Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)

Referee: Barba A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pachuca		Puebla

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.58	4.10	5.25
	1.6	3.85	4.9	Watch
	1.66	3.99	5.39
	1.58	4.09	5.67	Watch
	1.64	3.9	5.45
	1.63	3.91	5.8	Watch
	1.61	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.47)	3.97 ↓ (4.31)	5.37 ↓ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachuca
58.6%

Draw
23.8%

Puebla
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.6%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pachuca - Puebla Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pachuca will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moreno C. (C) 14. Sanchez C. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 6. Isais M. 30. Rodriguez S. 10. Montiel E. 29. Kenedy 26. Bautista A. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S.	28. Gutierrez D. (G) 12. Moreno I. 5. Almada F. 4. Vargas J. (C) 7. Monarrez F. 24. Organista A. 21. Sanabria S. 27. Garnica B. 26. Velasco K. 11. Gomez E. 29. Mustre E.
Substitutes
9. Alcaraz A. 187. Alvarez G. 13. Berlanga J. 206. Contreras T. A. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 211. Hernandez C. 22. Mozo A. 7. Pizarro R. 21. Vallejo N. 15. Venegas F.	22. Baltazar C. 9. Hernandez L. 2. Leyva A. 34. Lucas Camilo 8. Moreno Villegas O. F. 182. Ortega Y. (G) 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 16. Ramirez A. 10. Tomas M. 15. Villa O.
Coaches
Mora B.	Espinoza G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽, Mustre E. (A),
33', 0 - 2, Velasco K. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 1 - 2, Rondon S. ⚽, Sanchez C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Montiel E. ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
46', Kenedy ↓, Vallejo N. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Rondon S. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Sanabria S. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
77', Idrissi O. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
83', Mustre E. ↓, Villa O. ↑,
83', Gomez E. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
83', Moreno I. ↓, Lucas Camilo ↑,
83', Rondon S. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
83', Sanchez C. ↓, Mozo A. ↑,
87', Garnica B. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Almada F. ⚽, Hernandez L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 4.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Pachuca is the team to beat.

There will not play in Pachuca: Dominguez A. (Foot Injury) Rivera C. (Red Card)

There will not play in Puebla: Maestro I. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 13 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 42:19. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Puebla	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15
12	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	15:11	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pachuca
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Charlotte - Pachuca	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Columbus Crew - Pachuca	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Cincinnati - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
01.08.26	Club León - Pachuca	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Pachuca - Querétaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLL
- Puebla FC
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	San Diego - Puebla	3:2 ✺
06.08.26	Portland Timbers - Puebla	5:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
31.07.26	Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
21.07.26	Cruz Azul - Puebla	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Juárez - Puebla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
07.03.26	Pachuca - Puebla	2:1
23.09.25	Puebla - Pachuca	2:2
26.02.25	Pachuca - Puebla	2:1
20.09.24	Puebla - Pachuca	2:3
20.02.24	Puebla - Pachuca	1:4
28.10.23	Pachuca - Puebla	1:1
09.01.23	Pachuca - Puebla	5:1

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