Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Disney+, ESPN, FOX One
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Puebla		Chivas Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	6	4.75	1.45
	5.50	4.50	1.50
	5.9	4.15	1.52
	6.6	4.75	1.51
	5.59	4.58	1.53
	6.5	4.55	1.48
	5.53	4.79	1.54	Watch
	5.6	4.5	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.9 ↑ (3.57)	4.57 ↑ (3.55)	1.5 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla
16.1%

Draw
20.8%

Chivas Guadalajara
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puebla's form might have worsened.

Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Gutierrez D. (G) 12. Moreno I. 5. Almada F. 4. Vargas J. (C) 7. Monarrez F. 24. Organista A. 21. Sanabria S. 26. Velasco K. 22. Baltazar C. 11. Gomez E. 29. Mustre E.	1. Rangel R. (G) 23. Aguirre D. 7. Romo L. (C) 2. Castillo J. 28. Gonzalez F. 37. Ledezma R. 11. Gutierrez B. 33. Carrillo J. 5. Gonzalez B. 25. Alvarado R. 34. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
27. Garnica B. 9. Hernandez L. 3. Herrera A. 2. Leyva A. 34. Lucas Camilo 8. Moreno Villegas O. F. 16. Ramirez A. 33. Rodriguez J. (G) 10. Tomas M. 15. Villa O.	10. Alvarez E. 3. Campillo Del Campo D. 19. Castaneda K. 24. Gomez M. 6. Govea O. 17. Marin R. 18. Perez J. 16. Rey L. 9. Sepulveda A. 13. Whalley O. (G)
Coaches
Espinoza G.	Milito G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Mustre E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Gonzalez F. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
63', Carrillo J. ↓, Govea O. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Alvarado R. ⚽, Alvarez E. (A),
71', Mustre E. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
71', Gonzalez A. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
71', Baltazar C. ↓, Tomas M. ↑,
77', Gutierrez B. ↓, Castaneda K. ↑,
77', Ledezma R. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
79', Organista A. ↓, Villa O. ↑,
90+1', Gomez E. ↓, Moreno Villegas O. F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 1.

Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guadalajara is seen as the favorite.

There are questionable in Guadalajara: Camberos H. (Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guadalajara Chivas	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19
9	Puebla	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Chivas Guadalajara - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.14%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla FC
Mexican Liga MX
21.07.26	Cruz Azul - Puebla	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Juárez - Puebla	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Puebla - Querétaro	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Monterrey - Puebla	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLL
- Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX
25.07.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Correcaminos UAT - Chivas Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
16.05.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
18.04.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	5:0
27.09.25	Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara	0:2
15.04.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	1:0
25.10.24	Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0
06.04.24	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	3:2
20.10.23	Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara	0:2
10.03.23	Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0

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