The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Padova 30.2%
Draw 29.8%
Empoli 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
28.8%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
26.8%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Padova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
42.9%
42.9%
Padova - Empoli Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Empoli will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Sorrentino A. (G) 32. Sgarbi F. 5. Perrotta M. 58. Pastina C. 17. Capelli A. 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 7. Varas K. 30. Favale G. 20. Bortolussi M. 77. Di Mariano F.
21. Fulignati A. (G) 24. Ebuehi T. 20. Lovato M. (C) 34. Guarino G. 27. Moruzzi B. 26. Candela A. 14. Yepes G. 18. Ghion A. 8. Magnino L. 77. Popov B. 11. Shpendi S.
Substitutes
4. Belli F. 13. Boi A. 24. Caprari G. 23. Di Maggio L. 72. Faedo C. 14. Fortin M. (G) 18. Ghiglione P. 86. Giunti G. 90. Lo Biundo E. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 11. Seghetti A. 55. Villa L.
99. Bianchi F. 15. Ceesay J. 2. Curto M. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 7. Elia S. 17. Fila D. 32. Haas N. 19. Nasti M. 5. Obaretin N. 1. Perisan S. (G) 4. Romagnoli S. 70. Saporiti E.
Coaches
Breda R.
Caserta F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Guarino G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sgarbi F. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
63', Faedo C. 🟨,
64', Di Mariano F. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
72', Capelli A. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
72', Ebuehi T. ↓, Elia S. ↑,
72', Popov B. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
72', Fusi P. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
81', Magnino L. ↓, Obaretin N. ↑,
81', Yepes G. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Bortolussi M. ⚽,
85', Bortolussi M. 🟨,
87', Moruzzi B. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
90', 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 1.
Padova is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Empoli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Surgery)
Barreca A.
(Muscle Injury)
Caprari G.
(Inactive)
Crisetig L.
(Yellow Cards)
Papu Gomez
(Inactive)
Silva J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D.
(Inactive)
Elia S.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Knee Injury)
Romagnoli S.
(Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Padova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Italy
World
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Sorrentino A. (G) 
Varas K. 
Ebuehi T. 
Yepes G. 
Popov B. 
Shpendi S. 
Mouquet L. (G) 
Ceesay J. 
Fila D. 
Haas N. 
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