The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Turris 42.7%
Draw 29.6%
ACR Messina 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
30%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
28.8%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Turris's performance.
ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ACR Messina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turris than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Turris - ACR Messina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Marcone R. (G) 5. Cocetta N. 13. Ricci L. 2. Esempio S. 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 4. Castellano F. 16. Casarini F. 38. Nicolao G. 17. Nocerino L. 45. Ekuban J. 10. Giannone L.
12. Krapikas T. (G) 98. Rizzo F. 15. Marino A. 6. Manetta M. (C) 20. Morleo U. 8. Frisenna G. 16. Petrucci D. 7. Lia D. 28. Pedicillo L. 9. Anatriello G. 11. Petrungaro L.
Substitutes
11. Armiento C. 66. Boli J. 30. Desiato F. 22. Fallani M. (G) 1. Iuliano S. (G) 26. Miranda P. 8. Morrone B. 15. Ndiaye M. 18. Onofrietti V. 19. Parodi G. 27. Porro M. 36. Sabatino B.
25. Adragna G. 31. Anzelmo D. 19. Cominetti M. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 29. Di Palma M. 4. Garofalo V. 18. Luciani P. 5. Mame Ass N. 17. Re A. 21. Salvo G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Casarini F. ⚽,
19', Ricci L. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Cocetta N. (Own goal),
24', Cocetta N. 🟨,
25', 1 - 2, Anatriello G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Casarini F. ↓, Onofrietti V. ↑,
62', Frisenna G. ↓, Garofalo V. ↑,
62', Petrungaro L. ↓, Cominetti M. ↑,
63', Ricci L. ↓, Parodi G. ↑,
63', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Morrone B. ↑,
67', Giannone L. ↓, Porro M. ↑,
70', Krapikas T. 🟨,
74', Nicolao G. ↓, Armiento C. ↑,
74', Petrucci D. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
75', Parodi G. 🟨,
84', Cocetta N. 🟨,
85', Morleo U. ↓, Anzelmo D. ↑,
85', Lia D. ↓, Mame Ass N. ↑,
90+2', Esempio S. 🟨,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Turris won 3.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Turris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Turris will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Turris won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:12 (average 2.5:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Turris won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:3 (average 3:0.8).
Italy
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Marcone R. (G) 
Ekuban J. 
Krapikas T. (G) 
Armiento C. 
Boli J. 
Ndiaye M. 
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