Match Info

Date: 14 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Parnu Rannastaadion (Parnu)

Referee: Moen S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Setanta Sports, Sport 1
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Paide LM		Dinamo Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.83
	3.9	3.75	1.78
	3.65	4	1.78
	3.95	4.1	1.68
	3.61	4.09	1.82
	3.82	3.78	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.54)	3.91 ↑ (3.4)	1.78 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paide LM
24.4%

Draw
23.7%

Dinamo Tbilisi
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

26.9%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

29.2%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Dinamo Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	10%	75%

Paide LM - Dinamo Tbilisi Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Paide will win (votes: 9 - 15%). Dinamo Tbilisi will win (votes: 45 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Tbilisi: 64% – 86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium. 1st leg result: 3-2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Dinamo Tbilisi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Paide have a series of guest games.

In this match Dinamo Tbilisi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paide won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide LM
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.07.22	Dinamo Tbilisi - Paide LM	2:3 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
02.07.22	Narva Trans - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
29.06.22	Tallinna JK Legion - Paide LM	1:2 ✺
18.06.22	Paide LM - Kuressaare	1:1 ✺
29.05.22	Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WTWTL
- Dinamo Tbilisi
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.07.22	Dinamo Tbilisi - Paide LM	2:3 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
29.06.22	Dinamo Batumi - Dinamo Tbilisi	4:1 ✺
25.06.22	Dinamo Tbilisi - Torpedo Kutaisi	5:1 ✺
20.06.22	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	5:0 ✺
16.06.22	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.07.22	Dinamo Tbilisi - Paide LM	2:3

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