Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Parnu Rannastaadion (Parnu)

Referee: Zabroda K. (Ukr)


	Paide LM		Magpies

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	7.5	Watch
	1.25	6	8.75	Watch
	1.22	6	11
	1.25	5.62	8.52
				Watch
	1.22	5.8	12
	1.23	6.49	13.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.29)	5.99 ↑ (5.34)	10.16 ↑ (7.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paide LM
75.3%

Draw
15.6%

Magpies
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

17.1%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Paide LM - Magpies Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Paide will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paide: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Paide (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Jarju E. (G) 25. Gueye M. 5. Juhkam G. 23. Delevic M. 29. Saliste J. 10. Miller M. 6. Gilmore L. 8. Ojamaa H. (C) 77. Luts D. 7. Corr P. 14. Saarma R.	1. Funez S. (G) 2. Busto E. 24. Villar F. M. 32. Ronco K. (C) 4. Britto J. 17. Krasniqi K. 8. De Haro E. 14. Perera J. 20. Parkes V. 9. Borge D. 3. Parody A.
Substitutes
9. Anier H. 30. Badamosi A. 27. Baranov N. 17. Cham P. A. 28. Hoim O. 70. Isakar R. (G) 2. Lilander M. 19. Luts S. 12. Meerits M. (G) 15. Ojamaa H. 11. Reinkort S. 22. Soo S.	23. Campana M. 16. Clinton L. 10. Del Rio J. 11. Dominguez C. 6. Hernandez A. 7. Hernandez A. 15. Stevens H. 12. Tudela D. (G) 5. Zuniga F.
Coaches
Vassiljev V.	Loen Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Miller M. ⚽, Luts D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Busto E. ↓, Campana M. ↑,
46', Parkes V. ↓, Del Rio J. ↑,
61', Parody A. ↓, Stevens H. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Corr P. ⚽, Juhkam G. (A),
69', De Haro E. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Corr P. ⚽, Gilmore L. (A),
74', Corr P. ↓, Cham P. A. ↑,
74', Luts D. ↓, Luts S. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Del Rio J. ⚽,
80', Miller M. ↓, Hoim O. ↑,
87', Gueye M. ↓, Lilander M. ↑,
87', Juhkam G. ↓, Baranov N. ↑,
87', Borge D. ↓, Clinton L. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Cham P. A. ⚽, Luts S. (A),
90+1', Krasniqi K. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-2. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Parnu Rannastaadion.

Paide is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Paide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paide is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide LM
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Magpies - Paide LM	2:3 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.25	Paide LM - Levadia Tallinn	0:3 ✺
28.06.25	Tammeka - Paide LM	0:2 ✺
21.06.25	Paide LM - Flora Tallinn	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW
- FCB Magpies
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Magpies - Paide LM	2:3 ✺
Gibraltar National League
04.05.25	Europa - Magpies	4:2 ✺
27.04.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Magpies	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Magpies - Manchester 62	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Magpies - St Josephs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Magpies - Paide LM	2:3

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