Match Info

Date: 7 August 2021, Saturday


	Paide LM		Viljandi Tulevik

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	8.75
	1.16	6.4	9.5	Watch
	1.21	5.8	10
	1.22	6.78	11.74
	1.22	5.25	10
	1.24	5.9	9.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	6.02 ↑ (5.4)	9.92 ↑ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paide LM
75.6%

Draw
15.2%

Viljandi Tulevik
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

16.7%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

10.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paide LM's performance.

Viljandi Tulevik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viljandi Tulevik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (-30.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paide LM that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viljandi Tulevik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paide LM - Viljandi Tulevik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paide is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tulevik is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Paide is indisputable favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Paide won 14 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 56-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Paide won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga
31.07.21	Paide LM - Flora Tallinn	0:0 ✺
18.07.21	Paide LM - Tammeka	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.07.21	Śląsk Wrocław - Paide LM	2:0 ✺
08.07.21	Paide LM - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
30.06.21	Flora Tallinn - Paide LM	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTLLT
- JK Viljandi Tulevik
Estonian Meistriliiga
31.07.21	Viljandi Tulevik - Tammeka	5:3 ✺
17.07.21	Viljandi Tulevik - Narva Trans	0:1 ✺
30.06.21	Nõmme Kalju - Viljandi Tulevik	5:1 ✺
25.06.21	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus	3:1 ✺
21.06.21	Pärnu Vaprus - Viljandi Tulevik	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
19.05.21	Paide LM - Viljandi Tulevik	0:1
21.03.21	Viljandi Tulevik - Paide LM	0:1
Estonian Cup
04.11.20	Paide LM - Viljandi Tulevik	2:3 penalties
Estonian Meistriliiga
12.09.20	Viljandi Tulevik - Paide LM	1:4
15.08.20	Viljandi Tulevik - Paide LM	1:3
19.05.20	Paide LM - Viljandi Tulevik	1:2
21.09.19	Paide LM - Viljandi Tulevik	4:0

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