Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 31

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Paide linnastaadion (Paide) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tohver K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Estonia	19:00	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV


	Paide LM		Tammeka

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.10	4.20
	1.62	3.85	4.25
	1.72	4.15	4.3
	1.61	4.26	4.69	Watch
	1.69	3.95	4.25
	1.72	3.95	4.27	Watch
	1.6	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.65)	4.04 ↑ (3.97)	4.28 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paide LM
55.8%

Draw
22.8%

Tammeka
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

22.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tammeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paide LM - Tammeka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paide will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Meerits M. (G) 2. Lilander M. 27. Baranov N. 3. Victor Hugo 4. Andrade 28. Hoim O. (C) 6. Daniel Cabral 23. Palacios J. 10. Miller M. 77. Luts D. 29. Darboe D.	26. Lapa K. (G) 23. Veelma P. 44. Kangaslahti O. (C) 17. Amijekori J. 3. Pedro Manoel 24. Pedmanson H. 7. Thomas Lisboa 99. Hydara M. 10. Uggeri G. 9. Sambe M. 29. Silov R.
Substitutes
17. Cham P. A. 37. Kanne K. 19. Luts S. 20. Piht K. 63. Reivik K. 56. Sapp M. (G) 21. Smirnov R. 16. Surogin A.	89. Kauan Pereira 77. Kiidjarv C. (G) 8. Kiidron K. 13. Laabus R. 11. Muur R. 27. Ounpuu L. 4. Vaino M.
Coaches
Kink T.	Voolaid K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', Pedmanson H. 🟨,
37', Sambe M. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Darboe D. ⚽, Daniel Cabral (A),
44', 1 - 1, Sambe M. ⚽, Silov R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pedmanson H. ↓, Ounpuu L. ↑,
63', Darboe D. ↓, Piht K. ↑,
74', Luts D. 🟨,
76', Daniel Cabral ↓, Cham P. A. ↑,
76', Luts D. ↓, Luts S. ↑,
83', Palacios J. 🟨,
84', Sambe M. 🟨,
87', Silov R. ↓, Muur R. ↑,
87', Miller M. ↓, Surogin A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Tammeka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Paide is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Paide has recorded 13 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:12 (averaging 1.9:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Paide against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 20:5 goals (averaging 2.2:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Paide	33	18	6	9	53:39	14	60
5	Tammeka	34	16	2	16	48:54	-6	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga
11.10.26	Levadia Tallinn - Paide LM	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Nõmme United - Paide LM	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Paide LM - Pärnu Vaprus	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Paide LM - Harju JK Laagri	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Tammeka - Paide LM	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW
- JK Tammeka Tartu
Estonian Meistriliiga
10.10.26	Tammeka - Nõmme United	4:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
02.10.26	Tammeka - Viimsi JK	4:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
20.09.26	Tammeka - Nõmme Kalju	1:3 ✺
17.09.26	Levadia Tallinn - Tammeka	6:0 ✺
13.09.26	Kuressaare - Tammeka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
09.09.26	Tammeka - Paide LM	0:2
01.05.26	Paide LM - Tammeka	0:1
12.04.26	Tammeka - Paide LM	1:4
Estonian Cup
29.10.25	Paide LM - Tammeka	3:0
Estonian Meistriliiga
18.10.25	Paide LM - Tammeka	5:0
23.08.25	Tammeka - Paide LM	0:1
28.06.25	Tammeka - Paide LM	0:2

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