Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Pärnu Vaprus		Viljandi Tulevik

	1	X	2
	5	4.4	1.47
	4.7	4.4	1.45	Watch
	5	4.4	1.49
	5	5.16	1.49
	5	4.33	1.5
	5.6	4.6	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↑ (3.84)	4.55 ↑ (3.82)	1.48 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Vaprus
18.1%

Draw
20.1%

Viljandi Tulevik
61.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.8%

23.9%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu Vaprus's form might have worsened.

Viljandi Tulevik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viljandi Tulevik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Pärnu Vaprus - Viljandi Tulevik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Pärnu Vaprus is Meistriliiga (Relegation Group)

Tulevik is Meistriliiga (Relegation Group)

Pärnu Vaprus has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tulevik is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pärnu Vaprus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tulevik is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Pärnu Vaprus won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 12-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Pärnu Vaprus won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga
20.10.21	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme Kalju	1:4 ✺
09.10.21	Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	5:0 ✺
18.09.21	Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus	6:0 ✺
12.09.21	Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- JK Viljandi Tulevik
Estonian Cup
23.10.21	Viljandi Tulevik - Nõmme Kalju	1:3 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
16.10.21	Viljandi Tulevik - Levadia Tallinn	3:2 ✺
03.10.21	Kuressaare - Viljandi Tulevik	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Viljandi Tulevik - Flora Tallinn	2:2 ✺
18.09.21	Tallinna JK Legion - Viljandi Tulevik	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
20.08.21	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus	1:0
25.06.21	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus	3:1
21.06.21	Pärnu Vaprus - Viljandi Tulevik	0:1
Club Friendly
22.01.21	Pärnu Vaprus - Viljandi Tulevik	0:2
11.01.20	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus	1:1
Estonian Meistriliiga
02.10.18	Pärnu Vaprus - Viljandi Tulevik	0:3
03.08.18	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga
31.10.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM	✺
28.10.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Kuressaare	✺

Pärnu Vaprus - Viljandi Tulevik