Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 28

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Perri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV


	Palermo		Brescia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.4	4.4
				Watch
	1.85	3.42	5.05
				Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.4
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.81)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	4.62 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
51.6%

Draw
27.9%

Brescia
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.4%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

26.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	30.8%	0%

Palermo - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Audero E. (G) 4. Baniya R. 32. Ceccaroni P. (C) 24. Magnani G. 27. Pierozzi N. 6. Gomes C. 28. Blin A. 17. Di Francesco F. 26. Verre V. 19. Pohjanpalo J. 21. Le Douaron J.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 5. Calvani G. 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 16. D'Andrea L. 25. Bisoli D. (C) 6. Verreth M. 39. Besaggio M. 20. Nuamah P. 29. Borrelli G.
Substitutes
1. Desplanches S. (G) 23. Diakite S. 11. Insigne R. 3. Lund K. 43. Nikolaou D. 10. Ranocchia F. 8. Segre J. 46. Sirigu S. (G) 14. Vasic A.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 12. Avella M. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 19. Corrado N. 7. Juric A. 11. Moncini G. 27. Olzer G. 32. Papetti A.
Coaches
Dionisi A.	Maran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Bisoli D. 🟨,
28', Blin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Ceccaroni P. 🟨,
63', D'Andrea L. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
64', Borrelli G. 🟨,
68', Blin A. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
69', Verre V. ↓, Segre J. ↑,
76', Calvani G. ↓, Papetti A. ↑,
76', Besaggio M. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
79', Di Francesco F. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
79', Pierozzi N. ↓, Diakite S. ↑,
82', Nuamah P. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
82', Borrelli G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
83', Magnani G. 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
90+1', Vasic A. 🟨,
90+2', Le Douaron J. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
90+3', Papetti A. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Palermo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Palermo is a favorite.

There will not play in Palermo: Brunori M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Palermo: Di Bartolo F. (Injury) Di Mariano F. (Injury) Gomis A. (Injury) Henry T. (Injury) Nikolaou D. (Illness)

There are questionable in Brescia: Cistana A. (Injury) Galazzi N. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Palermo won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
23.02.25	Nuova Cosenza - Palermo	0:3 ✺
16.02.25	Palermo - Mantova	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Spezia - Palermo	2:2 ✺
31.01.25	Palermo - Pisa	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Reggiana - Palermo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTLL
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
23.02.25	Brescia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Sassuolo - Brescia	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Brescia - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Carrarese - Brescia	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Brescia - Catanzaro	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.08.24	Brescia - Palermo	1:0
02.03.24	Brescia - Palermo	4:2
08.11.23	Palermo - Brescia	1:0
19.05.23	Palermo - Brescia	2:2
26.12.22	Brescia - Palermo	1:1
15.02.19	Palermo - Brescia	1:1
25.09.18	Brescia - Palermo	2:1

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