Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 24

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Scatena G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Carrarese		Brescia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.6
	2.25	2.95	3.5	Watch
	2.31	3	3.8
	2.24	2.99	3.71	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.25
	2.23	3.08	3.59	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.24)	3 ↓ (3.15)	3.57 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
42.1%

Draw
31.4%

Brescia
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	64.3%	7.1%

Carrarese - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Brescia will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Fiorillo V. (G) 4. Illanes J. 6. Oliana F. 3. Imperiale M. 72. Zanon S. 20. Giovane S. 18. Schiavi N. 5. Melegoni F. 11. Cicconi M. 90. Cerri L. 19. Shpendi S.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 5. Calvani G. 28. Adorni D. 19. Corrado N. 26. Bertagnoli M. 6. Verreth M. 27. Olzer G. 39. Besaggio M. 20. Nuamah P. 29. Borrelli G.
Substitutes
77. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 82. Capezzi L. 9. Cherubini L. 24. Chiorra N. (G) 32. Finotto M. 34. Guarino G. 44. Mazzi G. (G) 8. Palmieri R. 17. Zuelli E.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 12. Avella M. (G) 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 16. D'Andrea L. 18. Jallow A. 7. Juric A. 14. Maucci G. 11. Moncini G. 33. Muca Z. 32. Papetti A.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Maran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Calvani G. 🟨,
25', Nuamah P. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Bertagnoli M. ⚽,
45+6', 0 - 2, Borrelli G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Melegoni F. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
46', Nuamah P. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
57', Cherubini L. 🟨,
59', Cerri L. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
60', Schiavi N. ↓, Zuelli E. ↑,
63', Calvani G. ↓, Papetti A. ↑,
63', Olzer G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
69', Borrelli G. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
69', Illanes J. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Cicconi M. ⚽,
77', Zanon S. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
79', Cicconi M. 🟨,
85', Besaggio M. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
90+2', Verreth M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

Carrarese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brescia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Carrarese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carrarese will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Carrarese: Bleve M. (Injury)

There will not play in Brescia: Cistana A. (Injury) Fogliata R. (Injury) Verreth M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Carrarese: Guarino G. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
25.01.25	Juve Stabia - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Carrarese - Spezia	0:4 ✺
13.01.25	Pisa - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Carrarese - Cesena	2:0 ✺
26.12.24	Sampdoria - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWT
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
26.01.25	Brescia - Catanzaro	2:3 ✺
18.01.25	Bari - Brescia	2:2 ✺
12.01.25	Brescia - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Cremonese - Brescia	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Brescia - Modena	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.12.24	Brescia - Carrarese	0:0

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