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Current Win Probability
Nuova Cosenza 26.7%
Draw 31.6%
Palermo 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
30.9%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
30.2%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuova Cosenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
38.5%
38.5%
Nuova Cosenza - Palermo Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Palermo will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 12% โ 65%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 55. Hristov A. 23. Venturi M. 17. Caporale A. 2. Cimino B. 6. Charlys 5. Gargiulo M. 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 7. Garritano L. 9. Artistico G. 30. Mazzocchi S.
12. Audero E. (G) 4. Baniya R. 28. Blin A. 24. Magnani G. 27. Pierozzi N. 6. Gomes C. 10. Ranocchia F. 3. Lund K. 26. Verre V. 9. Brunori M. (C) 19. Pohjanpalo J.
Substitutes
19. Ciervo R. 15. Dalle Mura C. 10. Fumagalli T. 28. Kouan C. 39. Kourfalidis C. 4. Martino P. 16. Ricciardi M. 31. Ricci G. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 29. Sgarbi F. 22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Zilli M.
25. Buttaro A. 1. Desplanches S. (G) 17. Di Francesco F. 11. Insigne R. 21. Le Douaron J. 8. Segre J. 46. Sirigu S. (G) 14. Vasic A.
Coaches
Alvini M.
Dionisi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Pierozzi N. ⚽, Verre V. (A),
44', Pierozzi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Charlys 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Brunori M. (Pen),
57', Brunori M. 🟨,
58', D'Orazio T. ↓, Ricci G. ↑,
58', Cimino B. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
65', 0 - 3, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Verre V. (A),
68', Caporale A. 🟨,
75', Verre V. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
75', Brunori M. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
75', Artistico G. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
75', Charlys ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
83', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
85', Ranocchia F. ↓, Segre J. ↑,
89', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
89', Pierozzi N. ↓, Buttaro A. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2.
Cosenza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Palermo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cosenza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Cosenza: Florenzi A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Palermo: Ceccaroni P.
(Red Card)
Diakite S.
(Yellow Cards)
Henry T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Palermo: Di Bartolo F.
(Injury)
Di Mariano F.
(Injury)
Gomis A.
(Injury)
Insigne R.
(Muscle Injury)
Nikolaou D.
(Illness)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Nuova Cosenza - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.37%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Italy
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Micai A. (G) 
Hristov A. 
Charlys 
Baniya R. 
Blin A. 
Lund K. 
Pohjanpalo J. 
Kouan C. 
Kourfalidis C. 
Vasic A. 
