Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3


	Palermo		Pisa

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.6	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.4
	2.3	2.85	3.5	Watch
	2.29	2.91	3.92
	2.26	2.92	3.78	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.26	2.94	3.71	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.31)	2.94 ↓ (3.18)	3.6 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
41.7%

Draw
32.1%

Pisa
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.7%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

31.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	52.6%	21.1%

Palermo - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Pisa will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Desplanches S. (G) 24. Magnani G. 43. Nikolaou D. 32. Ceccaroni P. 23. Diakite S. 8. Segre J. 10. Ranocchia F. 26. Verre V. 3. Lund K. 21. Le Douaron J. 9. Brunori M. (C)	47. Semper A. (G) 17. Rus A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 15. Toure I. 8. Hojholt M. 28. Abildgaard O. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 14. Meister H. 45. Lind A.
Substitutes
4. Baniya R. 28. Blin A. 25. Buttaro A. 63. Cutrona F. (G) 17. Di Francesco F. 6. Gomes C. 20. Henry T. 27. Pierozzi N. 46. Sirigu S. (G) 14. Vasic A.	30. Arena A. 94. Bonfanti G. 33. Calabresi A. 22. Loria L. (G) 80. Morutan O. 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 65. Sernicola L. 21. Solbakken M. 13. Sussi C. 10. Vignato E.
Coaches
Dionisi A.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Rus A. (Pen),
23', Caracciolo Ant. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Lind A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 2, Brunori M. ⚽, Segre J. (A),
61', Brunori M. 🟨,
65', Meister H. 🟨,
67', Meister H. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
72', Toure I. 🟨,
74', Toure I. ↓, Sernicola L. ↑,
75', Verre V. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
75', Diakite S. ↓, Pierozzi N. ↑,
82', Magnani G. ↓, Baniya R. ↑,
87', Lund K. ↓, Henry T. ↑,
87', Lind A. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
87', Rus A. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 1.

Recent matches Palermo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pisa in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Palermo will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Palermo: Gomis A. (Injury)

There will not play in Pisa: Marin M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Palermo: Di Mariano F. (Injury) Insigne R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury) Leris M. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1.7:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:5 (average 3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
26.01.25	Reggiana - Palermo	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Palermo - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Palermo - Modena	2:0 ✺
29.12.24	Cittadella - Palermo	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Palermo - Bari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
26.01.25	Pisa - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Catanzaro - Pisa	0:0 ✺
13.01.25	Pisa - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Sampdoria - Pisa	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Pisa - Sassuolo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.08.24	Pisa - Palermo	2:0
01.04.24	Pisa - Palermo	4:3
16.12.23	Palermo - Pisa	3:2
04.03.23	Pisa - Palermo	1:1
15.10.22	Palermo - Pisa	3:3
Club Friendly
21.07.22	Pisa - Palermo	5:0

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