Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Sporty TV App
Brazil	12:15	SportyNet
Israel	18:15	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	17:15	DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Russia	18:15	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	17:15	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
International	15:15	OneFootball TV


	Mantova		Palermo

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.30	2.10	Watch
	3.20	3.50	2.10
	3.00	3.40	2.25	Watch
	3.49	3.41	2.25
	3.33	3.35	2.15	Watch
	3.45	3.35	2.17
	3.29	3.39	2.21	Watch
	3.20	3.40	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.91)	3.39 ↑ (3.32)	2.17 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
28.8%

Draw
27.8%

Palermo
43.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

28%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

27.6%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mantova - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bardi F. (G) 5. Tomasevic B. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 58. Del Lungo T. 21. Trimboli S. (C) 80. Kouda R. 50. Benaissa-Yahia F. 30. Bragantini D. 8. Ilie R. 19. Ruocco F.	1. Perin M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 13. Bani M. (C) 32. Ceccaroni P. 3. Augello T. 8. Segre J. 10. Ranocchia F. 9. Vavassori D. 5. Palumbo A. 17. Johnsen D. 20. Pohjanpalo J.
Substitutes
11. Cajazzo I. 12. Gasparini M. (G) 1. Gemello L. (G) 9. Gliozzi E. 25. Ignacchiti L. 18. Keita S. 75. Kospo E. 6. Longonda J. 17. Radaelli N. 77. Vesentini F. 10. Wieser D.	33. Bozzolan A. 24. Estevez N. 14. Fortin M. (G) 99. Gabrielloni A. 6. Gomes C. 11. Gyasi E. 23. Hernani 96. Magnani G. 36. Mazzitelli L. 12. Nespola M. (G) 29. Peda P.
Coaches
Modesto F.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Bani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Ilie R. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Segre J. ⚽,
66', Ranocchia F. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
74', Ruocco F. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
74', Kouda R. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
77', Johnsen D. ↓, Hernani ↑,
77', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Gabrielloni A. ↑,
84', Del Lungo T. ↓, Longonda J. ↑,
84', Segre J. ↓, Peda P. ↑,
84', Palumbo A. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Hernani ⚽, Vavassori D. (A),

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Serie A and 1st in the Promotion - Serie A).

In recent outings, Mantova has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Palermo is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Palermo holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Mantova: Meroni A. (Injury) Vesentini F. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Palermo: Barba F. (Inactive) Joronen J. (Shoulder Injury) Strefezza G. (Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Mantova has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:10 (averaging 1.2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mantova against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	9	7	2	0	21:11	10	23
4	Mantova	9	5	2	2	14:10	4	17

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Palermo: 55.24% Mantova: 2.11%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
11.10.26	Catanzaro - Mantova	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Mantova - Pisa	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Cesena - Mantova	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Palermo - Mantova	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWTL
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
10.10.26	Empoli - Palermo	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Palermo - Padova	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Avellino - Palermo	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Palermo - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Palermo - Mantova	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Palermo - Mantova	5:2
Italian Serie B
04.03.26	Palermo - Mantova	2:1
11.01.26	Mantova - Palermo	1:1
16.02.25	Palermo - Mantova	2:2
30.10.24	Mantova - Palermo	0:0

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