The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mantova 32.5%
Draw 28.1%
Palermo 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
28%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
27.4%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Semi - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Serie A).
In recent outings, Mantova has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Palermo is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Mantova could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Mantova has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:10 (averaging 1.2:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mantova against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).
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