Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 24

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)


	Ternana		Spezia

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.5
	2.7	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.74	3.3	2.62
	2.88	3.22	2.71
	2.38	3.2	2.75
	2.78	3.2	2.61	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.41)	3.27 ↓ (3.39)	2.59 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
34.8%

Draw
28.9%

Spezia
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.6%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

27.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Ternana - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 32. Sgarbi F. 19. Capuano M. (C) 44. Lucchesi L. 15. Casasola T. 66. Pyyhtia N. 71. Luperini G. 79. Carboni F. 10. Pereiro G. 9. Raimondo A. 72. Amatucci L.	1. Zoet J. (G) 77. Bertola N. 23. Muhl L. 43. Nikolaou D. 37. Mateju A. 8. Nagy A. 10. Esposito Sa. 29. Cassata F. 99. Verde D. 16. Falcinelli D. 97. Jagiello F.
Substitutes
5. Boloca G. 6. Dalle Mura C. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 28. Di Stefano F. 16. Faticanti G. 27. Favasuli C. 22. Franchi D. (G) 25. Labojko J. 73. Marginean I. 4. Sorensen F. 3. Zoia R.	25. Bandinelli F. 36. Candelari P. 11. Cipot T. 28. Crespi G. M. (G) 20. Di Serio G. 7. Elia S. 9. Esposito F. 3. Jureskin R. 24. Moro L. 15. Pietra N. 5. Tanco G. J. 14. Vignali L.
Coaches
Breda R.	D'Angelo L.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 1.

Ternana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spezia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ternana won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
03.02.24	Ternana - Como	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Venezia - Ternana	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Ternana - Cittadella	3:1 ✺
13.01.24	Bari - Ternana	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Ternana - Pisa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLT
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
03.02.24	Spezia - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Pisa - Spezia	2:3 ✺
20.01.24	Spezia - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Como - Spezia	4:0 ✺
26.12.23	Spezia - Modena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
12.11.23	Spezia - Ternana	2:2
10.03.18	Spezia - Ternana	1:1
14.10.17	Ternana - Spezia	4:2
04.02.17	Spezia - Ternana	2:0
11.09.16	Ternana - Spezia	1:1
27.02.16	Ternana - Spezia	1:2
11.10.15	Spezia - Ternana	1:0

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