Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 25

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Mapei Stadium (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)


	Reggiana		Ternana

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	4	Watch
	2	3.25	3.7
	2	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.04	3.25	3.9
	2.06	3.2	4.33
	2.05	3.25	3.4
	2.01	3.22	4.02	Watch
	2.02	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.14)	3.24 ↓ (3.26)	3.86 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
46.5%

Draw
29.1%

Ternana
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	44.4%	0%

Reggiana - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bardi F. (G) 31. Sampirisi M. 4. Rozzio P. 27. Marcandalli A. 15. Fiamozzi R. 77. Kabashi E. 42. Bianco A. 3. Pieragnolo E. 28. Antiste J. 72. Melegoni F. 11. Gondo C.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 32. Sgarbi F. 19. Capuano M. 44. Lucchesi L. 72. Amatucci L. 15. Casasola T. 71. Luperini G. 8. de Boer K. 79. Carboni F. 17. Favilli A. 10. Pereiro G.
Substitutes
20. Blanco A. 8. Cigarini L. 80. Girma N. 17. Libutti L. 29. Pajac M. 23. Pettinari S. 90. Portanova M. 16. Reinhart T. 12. Satalino G. (G) 1. Sposito A. (G) 25. Szyminski P. 7. Varela Djamanca M.	5. Boloca G. 6. Dalle Mura C. 65. Dionisi F. 16. Faticanti G. 22. Franchi D. (G) 25. Labojko J. 73. Marginean I. 9. Raimondo A. 4. Sorensen F. 18. Vitali T. (G) 3. Zoia R.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Breda R.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Reggiana is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ternana is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Reggiana will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Reggiana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
10.02.24	Cremonese - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Reggiana - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Bari - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
20.01.24	Reggiana - Como	2:2 ✺
13.01.24	Pisa - Reggiana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TTWTT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
11.02.24	Ternana - Spezia	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Ternana - Como	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Venezia - Ternana	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Ternana - Cittadella	3:1 ✺
13.01.24	Bari - Ternana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.09.23	Ternana - Reggiana	3:0

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