The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palestino 56.7%
Draw 24%
Huachipato 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
25.8%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
25.4%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Palestino - Huachipato Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Perez Kirby S. A. (C) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 3. Roco E. 28. Zuniga D. 18. Gallegos S. 5. Glaby D. 27. Munder C. 14. Abrigo J. 11. Benitez J. 9. Fernandez R.
12. Bravo C. (G) 2. Guaiquil G. 20. Toro C. 5. Caroca R. 27. Velasquez L. 7. Briceno M. 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 22. Carcamo J. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 23. Martinez C. 9. Altamirano L.
Substitutes
30. Alegria I. 21. Araya M. 16. Bizama J. 12. Canto R. (G) 7. Carrasco B. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 8. Meza N. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 20. Tapia Paez G.
33. Abarzua A. 26. Antinirre H. 16. Arriagada L. 10. Canete E. 21. Herrera C. 52. Larrahondo D. 3. Mellado B. 1. Mella S. (G) 36. Osorio M.
Coaches
Farre G.
Garcia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
36', Benitez J. ↓, Alegria I. ↑,
38', Carrasco B. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Altamirano L. ⚽, Briceno M. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Gallegos S. ⚽, Espinoza Hevia V. A. (A),
45+3', Sepulveda C. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Fernandez R. ⚽, Zuniga D. (A),
50', 3 - 1, Alegria I. ⚽,
59', Carcamo J. ↓, Canete E. ↑,
72', Roco E. 🟨,
72', Leon Munoz M. A. ↓, Arriagada L. ↑,
72', Martinez C. ↓, Abarzua A. ↑,
76', Arriagada L. 🟨,
77', Fernandez R. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
77', Abrigo J. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
83', Sepulveda C. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Montes Romero F. T. ⚽, Zuniga D. (A),
90+1', Gallegos S. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
90+1', Munder C. ↓, Bizama J. ↑,
90+6', 5 - 1, Tapia Paez G. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 1.
In recent matches, Palestino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Huachipato's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Palestino is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:6. (average 2.2:0.6).