Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 20

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Nubank Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Azteca Deportes, Disney+
Paraguay	GEN
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Spain	Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Palmeiras		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	6.25	Watch
	1.63	3.75	5.75
	1.65	3.7	5.4	Watch
	1.65	3.78	6.57
	1.62	3.91	5.8	Watch
	1.62	3.7	6.35
	1.62	3.69	7.01	Watch
	1.63	3.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)	3.74 ↓ (3.85)	6.17 ↑ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
58.9%

Draw
25.6%

Atlético Mineiro
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

24.3%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carlos Miguel (G) 4. Giay A. 15. Gomez G. (C) 26. Murilo 22. Piquerez J. 17. Marlon Freitas 32. Martinez E. 8. Andreas Pereira 18. Mauricio 11. Arias J. 10. Paulinho	22. Everson (C) 2. Natanael 4. Ruan Tressoldi 13. Lyanco 6. Lodi R. 25. Perez T. 8. Maycon 23. Preciado A. 30. Victor Hugo 11. Bernard 9. Cassierra M.
Substitutes
56. Arthur Gabriel 43. Benedetti 45. Erick Bele 7. Felipe Anderson 39. Heittor Vinicius 21. Kaique Pereira (G) 48. Larson 30. Lucas Evangelista 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 37. Riquelme Fillipi 9. Vitor Roque	5. Alexsander 29. Caua 39. Cisse M. 92. Dudu 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 48. Gutte 17. Igor Gomes 27. Minda A. 36. Pascini K. 19. Reinier 3. Roman I. 14. Vitor Hugo
Coaches
Abel Ferreira	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Preciado A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Maycon ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Victor Hugo ⚽,
59', Martinez E. ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
59', Giay A. ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
65', Paulinho ↓, Heittor Vinicius ↑,
71', Bernard ↓, Minda A. ↑,
71', Victor Hugo ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Felipe Anderson ⚽, Arias J. (A),
76', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
77', 1 - 2, Igor Gomes ⚽, Minda A. (A),
78', Mauricio ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
78', Piquerez J. ↓, Arthur Gabriel ↑,
85', Preciado A. ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
90', Perez T. ↓, Alexsander ↑,
90+3', Lodi R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.

In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Barboza A. (Yellow Cards) Khellven (Yellow Cards) Sosa R. (Yellow Cards) Vitor Roque (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Atlético MG: Duarte L. (Injury) Franco A. (Personal Reasons) Indio (Knee Injury) Patrick Silva (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético MG: Minda A. (Inactive) Preciado A. (Inactive)

We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Palmeiras	29	17	9	3	48:21	27	60
7	Atletico-MG	29	12	8	9	39:34	5	44

Last Results with these Odds

Palmeiras - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60.23%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
22.07.26	Coritiba - Palmeiras	1:3 ✺
31.05.26	Palmeiras - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.26	Palmeiras - Junior Barranquilla	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	Flamengo - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.05.26	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWL
- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
21.07.26	Atlético Mineiro - Bahia	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
24.05.26	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Atlético Mineiro - Palmeiras	2:2
03.12.25	Atlético Mineiro - Palmeiras	0:3
20.07.25	Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro	3:2
28.09.24	Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro	2:1
17.06.24	Atlético Mineiro - Palmeiras	0:4
19.10.23	Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro	0:2
Copa Libertadores
09.08.23	Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro	0:0

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