Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Palmeiras		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	9	Watch
	1.28	5.25	10
	1.34	5.4	7.4	Watch
	1.32	5.22	10.02
	1.42	4.60	7.09	Watch
	1.25	5	11
	1.33	5.25	8.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.28)	5.14 ↓ (5.58)	9.07 ↓ (10.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
71.2%

Draw
18.4%

Universitario de Deportes
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.7%

16.9%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	21.1%	15.8%

Palmeiras - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Uni de Deportes (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Uni de Deportes (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Uni de Deportes (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 26. Murilo 15. Gomez G. (C) 13. Micael 4. Giay A. 40. Allan 32. Martinez E. 7. Felipe Anderson 18. Mauricio 9. Vitor Roque 42. Lopez J.	1. Britos S. (G) 33. Inga C. 40. Santamaria A. 5. Di Benedetto M. 24. Polo A. (C) 17. Concha J. 55. Castillo J. 16. Perez M. 27. Carabali J. 15. Diego Churin 7. Velez J.
Substitutes
3. Bruno Fuchs 12. Khellven 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 5. Moreno A. 22. Piquerez J. 51. Sa L. F. (G) 17. Torres F.	26. Ancajima H. 10. Calcaterra H. 12. Calderon A. (G) 29. Corzo A. 8. Costa G. 19. Flores E. 32. Guzman R. 23. Murrugarra J. 14. Reyna P. 11. Rivera J. 20. Valera A. 25. Vargas M. (G)
Coaches
Abel Ferreira	Fossati J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Allan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Allan ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
65', Carabali J. 🟨,
67', Concha J. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
67', Diego Churin ↓, Valera A. ↑,
73', Felipe Anderson ↓, Piquerez J. ↑,
73', Martinez E. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
73', Giay A. ↓, Khellven ↑,
74', Velez J. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
74', Perez M. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
81', Vitor Roque ↓, Torres F. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 4-0. 2nd leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Palmeiras is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Paulinho (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Riveros W. (Red Card) Urena R. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Palmeiras: Khellven (Injury) Murilo (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 4.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Palmeiras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
17.08.25	Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.08.25	Universitario de Deportes - Palmeiras	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.08.25	Palmeiras - Ceará	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.08.25	Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLT
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
17.08.25	Sport Huancayo - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.08.25	Universitario de Deportes - Palmeiras	0:4 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
09.08.25	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
05.08.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Universitario de Deportes	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
14.08.25	Universitario de Deportes - Palmeiras	0:4
27.05.21	Palmeiras - Universitario de Deportes	6:0
21.04.21	Universitario de Deportes - Palmeiras	2:3

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