Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 26

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos
Austria	Laola1
Brazil	TV Record
Colombia	Win Sports
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Botafogo RJ		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.96	Watch
	3.40	3.50	2.10
	3.45	3.3	2.08	Watch
	3.61	3.6	2.14
	3.35	3.61	2.12	Watch
	3.45	3.5	2.09
	3.44	3.67	2.09	Watch
	3.45	3.45	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.02)	3.52 ↑ (3.44)	2.08 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
27.4%

Draw
27%

Palmeiras
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.9%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	20%	73.3%

Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Batista (G) 2. Vitinho 5. Ferraresi N. 33. Monzon L. 21. Marcal (C) 75. Huguinho 8. Danilo Santos 77. Villalba Jaume L. M. 10. Montoro A. 90. Danilo Pereira 19. Arthur Cabral	1. Carlos Miguel (G) 4. Giay A. 15. Gomez G. (C) 2. Barboza A. 22. Piquerez J. 8. Andreas Pereira 30. Lucas Evangelista 17. Marlon Freitas 18. Mauricio 7. Felipe Anderson 42. Lopez J.
Substitutes
25. Allan 91. Andrade D. 37. Barria K. 88. Edenilson 36. Gabriel Abdias 79. Jales do Nascimento L. E. 7. Junior Santos 34. Justino G. 59. Kauan Toledo 6. Medina C. 4. Ponte M. 17. Warleson (G)	11. Arias J. 21. Bruno Bertinato (G) 3. Bruno Fuchs 45. Erick Bele 39. Heittor Vinicius 12. Khellven 48. Larson 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 26. Murilo 9. Vitor Roque
Coaches
Dias Bellao R.	Abel Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Barboza A. 🟨,
20', Arthur Cabral 🟨,
24', Marcal 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Mauricio ↓, Arias J. ↑,
63', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
68', Villalba Jaume L. M. ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
68', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
73', Arthur Cabral ↓, Barria K. ↑,
76', Montoro A. 🟨,
77', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
78', Montoro A. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
78', Danilo Santos ↓, Edenilson ↑,
80', Felipe Anderson ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
80', Giay A. ↓, Khellven ↑,
88', Andreas Pereira ↓, Larson ↑,
90+3', Barboza A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 1.

Botafogo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Palmeiras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Palmeiras could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Botafogo: Barrera J. (Injury) Kaio Pantaleao (Knee Injury) Paulinho (Injury)

There will not play in Palmeiras: Arthur Gabriel (Red Card) Jefte (Knee Injury) Paulinho (Muscle Injury) Sosa R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo: Alex Telles (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Palmeiras: 34.28% Botafogo RJ: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Palmeiras	29	17	9	3	48:21	27	60
13	Botafogo RJ	29	9	8	12	42:47	-5	35

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo RJ - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 31.45%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
30.08.26	Flamengo - Botafogo RJ	3:0 ✺
24.08.26	Botafogo RJ - Athletico Paranaense	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.26	Botafogo RJ - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Cienciano - Botafogo RJ	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Palmeiras
Copa do Brasil
02.09.26	Santos - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.08.26	Mirassol - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.08.26	Palmeiras - Santos	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.08.26	Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
18.03.26	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	2:1
17.08.25	Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras	0:1
FIFA Club World Cup
28.06.25	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ET
Brazilian Serie A
30.03.25	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	0:0
26.11.24	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	1:3
Copa Libertadores
21.08.24	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	2:2
14.08.24	Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras	2:1

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