Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Olympic Stadium of Athens (Athens)

Referee: Glova F. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Panathinaikos		Ajax

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.95
	2.3	3.5	2.95
	2.31	3.41	3.08
	2.3	3.48	3.04	Watch
	2.15	3.6	2.7
	2.36	3.37	3.06	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.61)	3.47 ↑ (3.36)	2.98 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
41.3%

Draw
27.1%

Ajax
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

27.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panathinaikos's performance.

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	33.3%	35.9%

Panathinaikos - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 12 - 36.4%). Ajax will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 30.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 20% – 52.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Dragowski B. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. (C) 15. Ingason S. I. 21. Jedvaj T. 25. Mladenovic F. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 55. Arao W. 17. Mancini D. 11. Bakasetas A. 31. Djuricic F. 29. Jeremejeff A.	22. Pasveer R. (G) 2. Rensch D. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 4. Hato J. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 6. Henderson J. (C) 8. Taylor K. 23. Berghuis S. 10. Akpom Ch. 11. Forbs C.
Substitutes
32. Baldock G. 7. Ioannidis F. 36. Katris G. 81. Lilo K. (G) 18. Limnios D. 1. Lodygin Y. (G) 20. Maksimovic N. 5. Schenkeveld B. 9. Sporar A. 10. Tete 52. Vilhena T. 6. Zeca	9. Brobbey B. 3. Gaaei A. 39. Godts M. 12. Gorter J. (G) 38. Hlynsson K. 13. Kaplan A. 16. Mannsverk S. 18. Medic J. 40. Ramaj D. (G) 19. Rijkhoff J. 20. Traore B. 21. van den Boomen B.
Coaches
Alonso D.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Berghuis S. ⚽, Fitz-Jim K. (A),
45+2', Ingason S. I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Berghuis S. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
57', Forbs C. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
59', Sutalo J. 🟨,
63', Jeremejeff A. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
63', Kotsiras G. ↓, Baldock G. ↑,
63', Mancini D. ↓, Tete ↑,
67', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, van den Boomen B. ↑,
67', Akpom Ch. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
75', Ioannidis F. 🟨,
76', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Maksimovic N. ↑,
80', Arao W. 🟨,
82', Taylor K. ↓, Brobbey B. ↑,
84', Djuricic F. 🟨,
87', Djuricic F. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Olympic Stadium of Athens.

Panathinaikos is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ajax in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Ajax have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Panathinaikos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Panathinaikos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Botev Plovdiv - Panathinaikos	0:4 ✺
25.07.24	Panathinaikos - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.24	Panathinaikos - Maccabi Netanya	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Panathinaikos - AEK Larnaca	3:1 ✺
06.07.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Panathinaikos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL
- Ajax Amsterdam
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Vojvodina - Ajax	1:3 ✺
25.07.24	Ajax - Vojvodina	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.24	Ajax - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:0 ✺
18.07.24	Ajax - Al Wasl	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Ajax - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.19	Ajax - Panathinaikos	1:2
UEFA Europa League
24.11.16	Ajax - Panathinaikos	2:0
15.09.16	Panathinaikos - Ajax	1:2
Club Friendly
10.07.15	Ajax - Panathinaikos	2:0

Upcoming Matches