Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Aukstaitijos Stadium (Panevėžys)

Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)


	Panevėžys		HJK

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.1	1.42	Watch
	7	4.5	1.46
	6.5	4.33	1.45	Watch
	6.6	4.3	1.48
	6.49	4.37	1.47	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.36
	7.3	4.58	1.48	Watch
	6.1	4.15	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.53 ↑ (4.9)	4.35 ↑ (3.98)	1.45 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Panevėžys
14.3%

Draw
21.4%

HJK
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

23.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22.4%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HJK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.3%	88.7%

Panevėžys - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: HJK will win (44 of 49 users predict this - 89.8%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.33% – 98.27%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Timbur E. (G) 32. Rasimavicius R. 4. Dubra K. 2. Klimavicius L. (C) 72. Mazan R. 5. Gorobsov N. 7. Veliulis E. 31. Palacios-Martinez F. 10. De Vega L. 21. Dieng Ch. 28. Gussias S.	85. Maenpaa N. (G) 24. Boamah M. 4. Toivio J. (C) 45. Tomas D. 18. Keskinen T. 8. Kanellopoulos G. 10. Lingman L. 30. Pallas N. 7. Hostikka S. 17. Bande H. 9. Plange L.
Substitutes
29. Beneta M. 88. Bosancic N. 13. Bukel D. (G) 15. Cacutalua M. 20. Cadjenovic J. 1. Cerniauskas V. (G) 97. Karvatskyi A. 17. Luksys N. 36. Mbo N.	94. Erwin L. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 2. Lyons-Foster B. 22. Moller L. 11. Olusanya A. 1. Ost J. (G) 80. Palumets K. 14. Sarpei N. 37. Tanaka A.
Coaches
Vreven S.	Korkeakunnas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Veliulis E. ⚽, Palacios-Martinez F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Kanellopoulos G. 🟨,
57', Rasimavicius R. 🟨,
58', Dieng Ch. 🟨,
62', Palacios-Martinez F. ↓, Cadjenovic J. ↑,
62', Gussias S. ↓, Mbo N. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Gorobsov N. (Pen),
67', 3 - 0, Mbo N. ⚽, Mazan R. (A),
67', Mbo N. 🟨,
69', Pallas N. ↓, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↑,
69', Boamah M. ↓, Palumets K. ↑,
69', Bande H. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,
69', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Erwin L. ↑,
71', Dieng Ch. 🟨,
75', Veliulis E. ↓, Beneta M. ↑,
85', Rasimavicius R. ↓, Luksys N. ↑,
85', Lingman L. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
88', Lyons-Foster B. 🟨,
90', Gorobsov N. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

HJK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently HJK have a series of guest games.

In this match HJK is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
04.07.24	Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Panevėžys - Banga Gargždai	0:1 ✺
26.06.24	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	1:3 ✺
22.06.24	Panevėžys - Dainava Alytus	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Transinvest - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
06.07.24	Ilves - HJK	3:0 ✺
30.06.24	IFK Mariehamn - HJK	1:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.06.24	Ekenäs - HJK	1:0 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.06.24	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	3:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
16.06.24	TuPS - HJK	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches