Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 19

Date: 29 June 2026, Monday

Location: Aukstaitijos Stadium (Panevėžys)

Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Lithuania	LNK


	Panevėžys		Sūduva Marijampolė

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.80	3.25	1.82
	3.6	3.2	1.92
	3.47	3.4	1.99
	3.66	3.49	1.96	Watch
	3.4	3.15	1.81
	3.73	3.42	1.97	Watch
	3.65	3.25	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.37)	3.31 ↑ (3.23)	1.91 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Panevėžys
25.1%

Draw
27.4%

Sūduva Marijampolė
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

27.9%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

26.7%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	13%	78.3%

Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė Predictions

Users Predictions: Sūduva Marijampolė will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sūduva Marijampolė will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 7. Veliulis E. 13. Kerkez S. 15. Janusevskis J. 66. Balsys D. 17. Kurtsev O. 6. Ramanauskas M. 34. Asante I. 8. Kouadio S. 27. Asamoah K. 28. Burdzilauskas E.	31. Plukas I. (G) 75. Stockunas E. 15. Zivanovic A. (C) 5. Baltrunas Z. 4. Uzochukwu H. 19. Tangiri F. 6. Sabo A. 8. Lawson S. 7. Seck I. 14. Steponavicius F. 9. Lucky T.
Substitutes
21. Adah J. 16. Bacanin M. 95. Bopesu J. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 31. Butkus A. 23. Dzinga E. 11. Grajfoner L. 24. Petkevicius N. 12. Valius L. (G) 5. van den Bos M.	26. Antanavicius D. 29. Beneta M. 22. Dhouib W. 23. Grigalava R. 10. Haydary O. 13. Mikulenas M. 18. Milasius T. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 12. Zenkevicius G. (G)
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Vencevicius D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Asamoah K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Zivanovic A. ↓, Beneta M. ↑,
58', Lucky T. 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Lawson S. ⚽,
77', Veliulis E. ↓, van den Bos M. ↑,
77', Kurtsev O. ↓, Bopesu J. ↑,
85', Asamoah K. ↓, Adah J. ↑,
85', Burdzilauskas E. ↓, Petkevicius N. ↑,
85', Kouadio S. ↓, Grajfoner L. ↑,
86', Seck I. ↓, Grigalava R. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 1.

Recent form of Panevėžys has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sūduva is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sūduva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sūduva is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.1:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suduva	28	13	11	4	39:25	14	50
7	FK Panevezys	28	9	5	14	29:43	-14	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian Cup
23.06.26	Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.06.26	Panevėžys - FA Šiauliai	3:2 ✺
16.06.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
12.06.26	Panevėžys - Transinvest	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Panevėžys	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
21.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	Riteriai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:3 ✺
23.05.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
25.04.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	1:0
22.02.26	Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:0
Lithuanian Cup
16.09.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	0:2
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
12.09.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	1:1
07.07.25	Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2
04.05.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	0:0
16.03.25	Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:0

Upcoming Matches