Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Dimotiko Stadio Serron (Serres)

Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Usa	SportPlus


	Panserraikos		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.42	Watch
	7	4.8	1.41
	7.97	4.96	1.35
	7.87	4.44	1.39	Watch
	6.96	4.31	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.36 ↓ (8.04)	4.57 ↓ (4.65)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panserraikos
12.7%

Draw
20.5%

Panathinaikos
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

20.1%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

19.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panserraikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panserraikos than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panathinaikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	10.5%	84.2%

Panserraikos - Panathinaikos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Panathinaikos (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panathinaikos will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Tinaglini F. (G) 19. Lyratzis L. 30. Volnei 81. De Marco V. (C) 88. Kalinin I. 7. Nunnely C. 8. Liasos A. 28. Brooks E. 10. Green A. 24. Doiranlis G. 80. Karelis N.	40. Lafont A. (G) 21. Jedvaj T. 14. Palmer-Brown E. 5. Touba A. 25. Mladenovic F. 6. Siopis M. 4. Chirivella P. 10. Tete 9. Zaroury A. 11. Bakasetas A. (C) 72. Pantovic M.
Substitutes
11. Banjaqui Z. 18. Fale M. 16. Galvan B. A. 5. Gelashvili I. 23. Georgiadis C. 6. Guillaumier M. 4. Karasalidis A. 99. Maras A. 40. Omeonga S. 63. Rumyantsev V. 14. Tsaousis M. 20. Tsompanidis A. (G)	39. Bokos I. G. 26. Fikaj E. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 15. Ingason S. I. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 17. Mancini D. 44. Nikas G. 41. Stamellos L. (G) 19. Swiderski K. 20. Taborda V. 52. Vilhena T.
Coaches
Zaragoza G.	Benitez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Kalinin I. 🟨,
30', Chirivella P. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Zaroury A. ⚽, Tete (A),
42', Chirivella P. ↓, Gnezda Cerin A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lafont A. ↓, Kotsaris K. ↑,
57', Karelis N. ↓, Maras A. ↑,
57', Brooks E. ↓, Galvan B. A. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Jedvaj T. ⚽, Tete (A),
62', Doiranlis G. 🟨,
66', Doiranlis G. ↓, Omeonga S. ↑,
67', Kalinin I. ↓, Tsaousis M. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Bakasetas A. ⚽, Pantovic M. (A),
73', Pantovic M. ↓, Swiderski K. ↑,
81', Maras A. ↓, Banjaqui Z. ↑,
82', Tete ↓, Mancini D. ↑,
83', Zaroury A. ↓, Bokos I. G. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).

Panserraikos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Panathinaikos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Panathinaikos is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Panserraikos: Armougom Y. (Ankle Injury) Galvan B. A. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Djuricic F. (Yellow Cards) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Panserraikos: Leo J. (Knock) Sofianos M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Bokos I. G. (Inactive) Dessers C. (Injury) Kyriakopoulos G. (Injury) Pellistri F. (Knock)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Panserraikos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.8:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Panserraikos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panserraikos FC
Greek Super League
09.11.25	Levadiakos - Panserraikos	5:2 ✺
02.11.25	Panserraikos - PAOK	0:5 ✺
25.10.25	Panserraikos - AEL Larissa	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Volos - Panserraikos	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Panserraikos - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW
- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
09.11.25	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Malmö - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.11.25	Volos - Panathinaikos	1:0 ✺
Greek Cup
29.10.25	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
26.10.25	Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
12.01.25	Panserraikos - Panathinaikos	2:2
22.09.24	Panathinaikos - Panserraikos	3:1
11.02.24	Panserraikos - Panathinaikos	0:3
29.10.23	Panathinaikos - Panserraikos	5:0

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