Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 12

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Referee: Portelli D. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Paola Hibernians		Melita

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.1	5.25
				Watch
	1.48	4.3	5.55	Watch
	1.45	4.2	5.84
	1.5	4.21	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	4.2 ↑ (4.19)	5.56 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paola Hibernians
61.9%

Draw
21.7%

Melita
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.9%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

21.2%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Melita aligns with the current prediction.

Paola Hibernians - Melita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez P. (G) 21. Alex Bruno 20. Falcone F. 8. Khevin Fraga 11. Kristensen B. (C) 22. Martinis A. 99. Monteiro Ribeiro R. B. F. 44. Pedrao 5. Shaw K. 7. Villela L. 14. Xuereb D.	1. Mizzi G. (G) 9. Andre Carlos 6. Attard J. P. (C) 26. Bondin K. 11. Borg O. A. 5. Cachia M. 77. Martinez S. 7. Mohnani K. 27. Sanchez C. 3. Simanca A. 13. Van de Bovenkamp M.
Substitutes
4. Alfred S. 17. Chukunyere I. 10. Degabriele J. 23. Ellul M. 29. Eviparker T. A. 24. Galea K. (G) 18. Lyon A. 9. Miullen 2. Ohaka J. 13. Portelli J. 30. Sacco H. (G)	17. Abela J. 2. Aquilina A. 18. Attard E. 20. Cassar B. 21. Cutajar D. 24. Grima G. 22. Gyamfi C. 12. Lubik A. (G) 15. Micallef J. 23. Testaferrata P. G. 19. Yepez J.
Coaches
Nisevic B.	Mizzi C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Khevin Fraga ⚽,
15', Van de Bovenkamp M. 🟨,
16', Shaw K. 🟨,
29', Villela L. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Alex Bruno ⚽,
34', Falcone F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 3 - 0, Villela L. ⚽,
58', Borg O. A. ↓, Yepez J. ↑,
59', Bondin K. ↓, Cutajar D. ↑,
65', Kristensen B. ↓, Degabriele J. ↑,
65', Falcone F. ↓, Ellul M. ↑,
72', Cachia M. ↓, Abela J. ↑,
72', Martinis A. ↓, Alfred S. ↑,
80', Andre Carlos ↓, Attard E. ↑,
80', Sanchez C. ↓, Gyamfi C. ↑,
85', Villela L. ↓, Lyon A. ↑,
85', Pedrao ↓, Eviparker T. A. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Hibernians is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melita is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Melita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hibernians is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hibernians won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hibernians won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
29.03.25	Floriana - Paola Hibernians	1:1 ✺
13.03.25	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	3:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
06.03.25	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	2:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
01.03.25	Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWWL
- Melita FC
Maltese Premier League
30.03.25	Melita - Marsaxlokk	0:5 ✺
13.03.25	Mosta - Melita	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Melita - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Balzan - Melita	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Melita - Naxxar Lions	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
04.01.25	Melita - Paola Hibernians	2:3
25.10.24	Paola Hibernians - Melita	2:0

Paola Hibernians - Melita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide