Match Info

Date: 21 December 2020, Monday


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.6	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.25
	2.33	2.6	3.35	Watch
	2.31	2.65	3.6
	2.41	2.73	3.95
	2.3	2.6	3.8
	2.38	2.69	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.18)	2.73 ↓ (2.96)	3.61 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
40.3%

Draw
34%

Brasil de Pelotas
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

23.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paraná Clube Curitiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	63.6%	9.1%

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Paraná will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.2% – 80%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 and 14).

Paraná is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paraná will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Paraná won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Paraná won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
17.12.20	CRB Maceio - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:2 ✺
12.12.20	América Mineiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
09.12.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Figueirense	0:2 ✺
04.12.20	Ponte Preta - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
01.12.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Vitória Salvador	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLL
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
16.12.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
13.12.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Guaraní Asuncion	3:1 ✺
10.12.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Cruzeiro - Brasil de Pelotas	4:1 ✺
30.11.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1
15.10.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
18.07.19	Brasil de Pelotas - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1
07.11.17	Brasil de Pelotas - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0
18.07.17	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Brasil de Pelotas	4:1
19.08.16	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Brasil de Pelotas	0:2
14.05.16	Brasil de Pelotas - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0

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