Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	América Mineiro		Paraná Clube Curitiba

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.6	8.5	Watch
	1.44	3.6	7.5
	1.44	3.7	6.75	Watch
	1.46	3.8	7
	1.48	4.07	8.71
	1.47	3.6	8
	1.48	4.1	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)	3.78 ↓ (4)	7.67 ↑ (7.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
63.4%

Draw
24.5%

Paraná Clube Curitiba
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

23.5%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6%

19.8%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

América Mineiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 16).

América MG is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paraná has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paraná could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match América MG is indisputable favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches América MG won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
08.12.20	América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 ✺
05.12.20	CS Alagoano - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
02.12.20	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
27.11.20	Osasco Sporting - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
24.11.20	América Mineiro - Juventude	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLTW
- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
09.12.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Figueirense	0:2 ✺
04.12.20	Ponte Preta - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
01.12.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Vitória Salvador	1:4 ✺
27.11.20	Operário Ferroviario - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
24.11.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.09.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - América Mineiro	0:1
05.11.19	América Mineiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:2
03.08.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - América Mineiro	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
10.11.18	América Mineiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1
22.07.18	Paraná Clube Curitiba - América Mineiro	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
21.10.17	América Mineiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1
07.07.17	Paraná Clube Curitiba - América Mineiro	1:1

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