Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Cruzeiro		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.5
	1.45	3.8	6.4	Watch
	1.5	3.65	6.6
	1.52	4.04	7.56
	1.47	3.6	7.5
	1.52	3.85	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.58)	3.81 ↑ (3.59)	6.78 ↓ (7.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
61.9%

Draw
24.4%

Brasil de Pelotas
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

26.5%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

22.2%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Cruzeiro - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brasil de Pelotas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cruzeiro is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
29.09.21	Guarani - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Cruzeiro - CS Alagoano	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
16.09.21	Cruzeiro - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLTW
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
29.09.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Brusque	0:2 ✺
26.09.21	Ponte Preta - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
21.09.21	Brasil de Pelotas - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	Goiás - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
07.09.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.07.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Cruzeiro	0:0
05.12.20	Cruzeiro - Brasil de Pelotas	4:1
02.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Cruzeiro	1:0

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