Match Info

Date: 29 January 2021, Friday


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.87	Watch
	2.55	3	2.6
	2.5	2.9	2.7	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.75
	2.77	3.12	2.85
	2.62	3	2.75
	2.66	3.14	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.85)	3.02 ↓ (3.15)	2.75 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
35.5%

Draw
30.8%

Cruzeiro
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

30.3%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

23.1%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paraná Clube Curitiba's performance.

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paraná Clube Curitiba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+25.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Cruzeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 12).

Paraná is Relegated to Serie C

Paraná is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paraná could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cruzeiro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
26.01.21	Osasco Sporting - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
19.01.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
15.01.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
12.01.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
08.01.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
24.01.21	Cruzeiro - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
20.01.21	Cruzeiro - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
16.01.21	Juventude - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
13.01.21	Cruzeiro - Osasco Sporting	0:1 ✺
08.01.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.10.20	Cruzeiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
27.10.18	Cruzeiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	3:1
13.06.18	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Cruzeiro	1:1

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