Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 34

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
Usa	Fanatiz


	Juventude		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.2	2.12
	4.43	3.8	1.85
	4.05	3.57	1.88	Watch
	3.86	3.34	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.05)	3.43 ↓ (3.57)	2.01 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
24.8%

Draw
27.8%

Cruzeiro
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.5%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

25.8%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.1%	24.1%	51.7%

Juventude - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 33.5% – 69.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jandrei (G) 32. Igor Formiga 3. Luan Freitas 47. Marcos Paulo 22. Marcelo Hermes 95. Caique Goncalves 16. Jadson 44. Mandaca 10. Nene (C) 99. Rafael Bilu 19. Gabriel Taliari	1. Cassio (G) 12. William Furtado 15. Fabricio Bruno 25. Villalba L. 6. Kaiki 29. Romero L. 16. Lucas Silva (C) 8. Matheus Henrique 9. Gabriel Barbosa 19. Kaio Jorge 17. Sinisterra L.
Substitutes
23. Abner 28. Alan Ruschel 97. Enio 2. Ewerthon 11. Giovanny 8. Giraldo D. 33. Lucas Fernandes 17. Matheus Babi 93. Reginaldo 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 90. Scatolin J. 6. Sforza J.	11. Bolasie Y. 14. Gamarra M. 77. Japa 43. Joao Marcelo 34. Jonathan Jesus 2. Kaua Moraes 36. Kaua Prates 57. Lelis R. 41. Leo Aragao (G) 35. Murilo Rhikman 81. Otavio Costa (G) 20. Ryan Guilherme
Coaches
Thiago Carpini	Jardim L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Marcelo Hermes ⚽, Gabriel Taliari (A),
14', Mandaca 🟨,
15', Matheus Henrique 🟨,
16', 2 - 0, Gabriel Taliari ⚽, Caique Goncalves (A),
28', Nene 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Sinisterra L. ⚽, William Furtado (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Matheus Henrique ↓, Japa ↑,
53', 2 - 2, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Kaiki (A),
54', Nene ↓, Abner ↑,
54', Rafael Bilu ↓, Giovanny ↑,
58', 3 - 2, Gabriel Taliari ⚽, Mandaca (A),
60', Mandaca ↓, Ewerthon ↑,
64', Caique Goncalves ↓, Sforza J. ↑,
65', Marcos Paulo ↓, Alan Ruschel ↑,
72', Kaiki ↓, Kaua Prates ↑,
72', Lucas Silva ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
73', William Furtado ↓, Kaua Moraes ↑,
81', Sinisterra L. ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
82', Alan Ruschel 🟨,
84', 3 - 3, Kaio Jorge ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.

Juventude has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cruzeiro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Cruzeiro is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Juventude: Gilberto (Muscle Injury) Nata (Hamstring Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Arroyo K. (Yellow Cards) Christian (Yellow Cards) Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury) Marquinhos (Knee Injury) Matheus Henrique (Ribs Injury) Matheus Pereira (Yellow Cards) Walace (Yellow Cards) Wanderson (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Caique Goncalves (Injury) Emerson Galego (Ankle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
08.11.25	Vasco da Gama - Juventude	1:3 ✺
05.11.25	Sport Recife - Juventude	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Juventude - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Grêmio - Juventude	3:1 ✺
20.10.25	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WWLLW
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
09.11.25	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
05.11.25	Grêmio - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Palmeiras - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Cruzeiro - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
20.07.25	Cruzeiro - Juventude	4:0
08.12.24	Juventude - Cruzeiro	0:1
24.07.24	Cruzeiro - Juventude	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
16.01.21	Juventude - Cruzeiro	1:0
16.10.20	Cruzeiro - Juventude	0:0
Club Friendly
10.01.18	Juventude - Cruzeiro	1:1

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