Match Info

Date: 19 January 2021, Tuesday


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.4	Watch
	2.7	2.85	2.55
	2.8	2.85	2.5	Watch
	2.95	2.85	2.5
	3.1	3.04	2.62
	3	2.88	2.5
	2.85	3.02	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.44)	2.91 ↓ (3.07)	2.53 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
31.8%

Draw
31.7%

Cuiabá
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

21.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paraná Clube Curitiba's form might have worsened.

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cuiabá's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cuiabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	40%	24%

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Paraná will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 20.8% – 59.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Paraná is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cuiabá is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cuiabá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
15.01.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
12.01.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
08.01.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
04.01.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
28.12.20	Chapecoense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTL
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
14.01.21	Cuiabá - Guaraní Asuncion	4:0 ✺
11.01.21	Ponte Preta - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
05.01.21	Cuiabá - Juventude	1:0 ✺
29.12.20	Cruzeiro - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
22.12.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.10.20	Cuiabá - Paraná Clube Curitiba	3:3
14.09.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Cuiabá	0:0
11.05.19	Cuiabá - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1

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