Match Info

Date: 6 October 2020, Tuesday


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.91	3.05	3.8	Watch
	1.84	3.15	4.4
	1.91	3.33	4.76
	1.85	3.1	4.6
	1.9	3.18	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.03)	3.19 ↓ (3.32)	4.25 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
49.3%

Draw
29%

Náutico Capibaribe
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

19.4%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paraná Clube Curitiba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.7%	12.2%	17.1%

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Paraná will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). Náutico will win (votes: 7 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paraná: 56.8% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 14).

Recent matches Paraná is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Náutico is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paraná is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Paraná won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Paraná won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
02.10.20	Botafogo SP - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
29.09.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1 ✺
14.09.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
09.09.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTWL
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Confiança	0:1 ✺
29.09.20	Cuiabá - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
18.09.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo SP	3:1 ✺
05.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.09.17	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0
13.06.17	Náutico Capibaribe - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:2
24.09.16	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2
11.06.16	Náutico Capibaribe - Paraná Clube Curitiba	5:1
07.11.15	Náutico Capibaribe - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0
28.07.15	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
26.09.14	Náutico Capibaribe - Paraná Clube Curitiba	3:1

Upcoming Matches